GBP/USD Price Analysis: Cable could still be in the middle trend reversal

GBP/USD trades 0.18% lower on Tuesday and the next major support is at 1.3010.
Tomorrows UK GDP number could cause some volatility.

Rajan Dhall, MSTA FX Daily

GBP/USD 1-hour chart

Cable has been trading slightly softer on Tuesday but GBP is not the major underperformer in the G6. Tomorrow could be a big session for GBP as the latest prelim GDP figures are set to be released. The analysts surveyed are estimating a fall of 22.4% for the year on year figure. Today the latest employment figures didn't really make for good reading but the number is largely redundant as the furlough scheme is still running.

Looking closer at the chart, the key feature is the black upward sloping trendline. The trendline has four touches and this makes a break more significant if it does happen. Just below that the next support level is at 1.3010.

On the topside, the red trendline is the next resistance but the blue horizontal resistance line at 1.3130 is the main level to keep an eye on. Above that area, if the bulls are looking to keep the trend moving then the high of 1.3185 would need to be broken.

The indicators are looking bearish at the moment. The MACD histogram is red and the signal lines have just dipped below the zero line. The Relative Strength Index is heading toward the oversold level but there is still room to the downside.

It is hard to say if this trend is over. Right now this is just a sideways consolidation phase and any definitive break of 1.30 area could confirm the trend change. The aforementioned GDP data on Wednesday could be the catalyst so keep an eye on the news.

Additional levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price	1.3047
Today Daily Change	-0.0026
Today Daily Change %	-0.20
Today daily open	1.3073

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.2872
Daily SMA50	1.2668
Daily SMA100	1.2504
Daily SMA200	1.2711

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.3103
Previous Daily Low	1.3019
Previous Weekly High	1.3186
Previous Weekly Low	1.2982
Previous Monthly High	1.317
Previous Monthly Low	1.236
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.3071
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.3051
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.3027
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.2981
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.2943
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.3111
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.3149
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.3196

Author

Rajan Dhall, MSTA

FX Daily

Rajan Dhall is an experienced market analyst, who has been trading professionally since 2007 managing various funds producing exceptional returns.

EUR/USD risks a deeper drop below 1.1750

EUR/USD keeps its vacillating mood in place as the the NA session drwas to a close on Tuesday, hovering below the 1.1800 hurdle amid acceptable gains in the US Dollar. In the meantime, market participants and the FX galaxy are expected to closely follow President Trump’s SOTU speech around 2AM GMT.

GBP/USD regains 1.3500 and above

GBP/USD extends its advance for the third day in a row on Tuesday, this time retesting the area beyond the 1.3500 hurdle. Cable’s uptick comes despite decent gains in the Greenback and the dovish message from the BoE’s Bailey at the UK Parliament.

Gold appears offered around $5,150

Gold is giving back a good portion of the recent multi-day rally, receding to the $5,150 zone per troy ounce amid the decent bounce in the US Dollar and mixed US Treasuty yields. In the meantime, markets’ attention remain on upcoming comments from Fed speakers.

Australia CPI to highlight persistent price pressures, backing a hawkish outlook

Australia will release its key set of inflation figures for the month of January on Wednesday, with the Consumer Price Index expected to rise by 3.7%, slightly lower than the 3.8% in the last month of 2025.

The Citrini report: How a debatable AI narrative can shake Wall Street

That AI-related headline alone was enough to rattle investors.US stocks slid sharply on Monday after a widely circulated Citrini Research memo outlined a hypothetical “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis”, warning that rapid AI adoption could push US unemployment into double digits as early as by mid-2028.

XRP pressured by weak ETF flows and declining retail interest

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower, trading above its intraday low of $1.32 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The decline from its weekly opening of $1.39 reflects heightened volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market, accentuated by tariff-triggered uncertainty.