|

GBP/USD may have just enough momentum to test 1.2975 – UOB Group

While overbought, Pound Sterling (GBP) may have just enough momentum to test 1.2975 vs US Dollar (USD) before the risk of a pullback increases. In the longer run, uptrend in GBP appears to be ready to consolidate or pause; a break below 1.2855 will indicate that upward momentum has eased, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note. 

Uptrend in GBP appears to be ready to consolidate or pause

24-HOUR VIEW: "Yesterday, we held the view that GBP 'is likely to trade in a range between 1.2845 and 1.2930.' Our view was incorrect, as GBP soared, reaching a high of 1.2966. While conditions are overbought, GBP may have just enough momentum to test the key resistance at 1.2975 before the risk of a pullback increases. The next resistance at 1.3000 is unlikely to come under threat. Support levels are at 1.2920 and 1.2900." 

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "We revised our outlook for GBP to positive early last week. After tracking the rise for more than a week, we highlighted yesterday (11 Mar, spot at 1.2875) that “upward momentum is slowing, and a breach of 1.2830 (‘strong support’ level) would mean that 1.2975 is out of reach this time around.” Although GBP subsequently rose to 1.2966, there has been no further increase in momentum. Overall, the uptrend appears to be ready to consolidate or pause, and a break below 1.2855 (‘strong support’ level was at 1.2830 yesterday) would indicate that the current upward momentum has eased. Looking ahead, should GBP break above 1.2975, there is another major resistance at 1.3000."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).