|

GBP/USD flirts with multi-month lows, below 1.3800 mark

  • A combination of factors dragged GBP/USD back below the 1.3800 mark on Thursday.
  • COVID-19 jitters and Bailey’s dovish comments acted as a headwind for the sterling.
  • Hawkish Fed expectations, rebounding US bond yields underpinned the USD and contributed to the selling bias.

The GBP/USD pair slipped below the 1.3800 mark in the last hour and was last seen hovering just a few pips above two-month lows touched last week.

The pair struggled to capitalize on its early European session uptick to the 1.3835 area, instead met with some fresh supply in reaction to the Bank of England (BoE) Governor, Andrew Bailey’s comments. Speaking at the Mansion House, in London, Bailey refrained from offering any hawkish cues and reiterated that the rise in inflation expected to be a temporary feature.

This comes amid worries about the spread of the more contagious Delta variant of the coronavirus, which along with a downward revision of the UK Manufacturing PMI weighed on the British pound. The gauge was finalized at 63.9 for June as against the 64.2 flash estimate. Apart from this, a modest US dollar strength exerted some additional downward pressure on the GBP/USD pair.

The USD remained supported by speculations that the Fed will tighten its monetary policy if price pressures continue to intensify. The market expectations were cemented by hawkish comments from Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan on Wednesday, saying that they are seeing a broadening of price pressures and would prefer to taper sooner than the end of the year.

The already stronger greenback was further underpinned by a solid rebound in the US Treasury bond yields. That said, the underlying bullish tone in the financial markets held investors from placing any aggressive bullish bets around the safe-haven buck. Nevertheless, the GBP/USD pair remains on track to prolong its corrective slide from mid-1.4200s or three-year tops.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, highlight the release of the ISM Manufacturing PMI and Weekly Jobless Claims. This, along with the US bond yields and the broader market risk sentiment, might influence the USD price dynamics and provide some impetus to the GBP/USD pair. The key focus, however, will remain on Friday's US jobs report (NFP).

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3792
Today Daily Change-0.0039
Today Daily Change %-0.28
Today daily open1.3831
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.4006
Daily SMA501.403
Daily SMA1001.3952
Daily SMA2001.364
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3873
Previous Daily Low1.3799
Previous Weekly High1.4001
Previous Weekly Low1.3787
Previous Monthly High1.4249
Previous Monthly Low1.3787
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3827
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3845
Daily Pivot Point S11.3795
Daily Pivot Point S21.376
Daily Pivot Point S31.3721
Daily Pivot Point R11.387
Daily Pivot Point R21.3909
Daily Pivot Point R31.3945

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims losses, back to 1.1830

EUR/USD manages to regain some composure, leaving behind part of the earlier losses and reclaim the 1.1830 region on Tuesday. In the meantime, the US Dollar’s upside impulse loses some momentum while investors remain cautious ahead of upcoming US data releases, including the FOMC Minutes.

GBP/USD looks weaker near 1.3500

GBP/USD adds to Monday’s pessimism and puts the 1.3500 support to the test on Tuesday. Cable’s marked pullback comes in response to extra gains in the Greenback while disappointing UK jobs data also collaborate with the offered bias around the British Pound.

Gold loses further momentum, approaches $4,800

Gold recedes to fresh two-week troughs around the $4,800 region per troy ounce on Tuesday. The precious metal builds on Monday’s downtick following a marked rebound in the US Dollar and mixed US Treasury yields across the board.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP upside looks limited amid deteriorating retail demand

The cryptocurrency market extends weakness with major coins including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) trading in sideways price action at the time of writing on Tuesday.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.