|

GBP/USD extends backslide for Friday, aimed for 1.21

  • The GBP/USD is continuing Thursday's losses, dropping towards the 1.2100 handle heading into the week's close.
  • Friday's early bounce gave way to further red on the charts, with Sterling bidders finding little support.
  • Sterling traders will be looking ahead to Tuesday's wages and employment figures for the UK.

The GBP/USD slipped further on Friday, seeing a mild intraday rebound into 1.2222 before slumping back into fresh lows for the week and tapping 1.2122. With broader markets favoring the US Dollar (USD) on risk aversion sparked by Federal Reserve (Fed) rate fears, the Pound Sterling (GBP) is struggling to find a bid heading into Friday's market close.

The GBP/USD rose steadily through the first half of the trading week, marking in a high of 1.2337, but gains were to be short-lived after Thursday's US inflation-fueled broad-market dog-pile back into the US Dollar, sending the GBP/USD back into the red for the week.

Next week will see plenty of action for both the Pound Sterling and the US Dollar, with Tuesday's double-feature of UK labor figures and a US retail sales update.

The UK's Employment Change for August is expected to moderate, from -207K to -195K, while earnings (excluding bonuses) for the quarter into August are expected to hold steady at 3.8%.

Labor data for the UK will be followed up by an appearance from Bank of England (BoE) policymaker Dr. Swati Dhingra and another round of 30-year bond auctions.

On the Greenback side, US Retail Sales for September are forecast to see declines, from 0.6% to 0.2%, with Industrial Production for the same period seen similarly slipping from 0.4% to a scant 0.1%.

GBP/USD Technical Outlook

The GBP/USD is down 0.7% from the week's opening bids after taking a run at the 1.2100 handle, and the pair remains firmly off the week's highs of 1.2337, down over 1.6% from the top set on Wednesday.

The pair slipped the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) near the 1.2200 major level on Thursday, and the 50-hour SMA has near-term median prices accelerating declines, moving bearishly towards 1.2220 and set for a bearish cross if markets don't stabilize Pound Sterling bids.

Daily candles likewise show the GBP/USD trapped firmly in bear territory, with 2023's low bids sitting nearby at 1.1802. The 50-day SMA is set for a bearish cross of the 200-day SMA near 1.2450, with the Pound Sterling steeply off 2023's highs of 1.3142. 

GBP/USD Hourly Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Technical Levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.214
Today Daily Change-0.0035
Today Daily Change %-0.29
Today daily open1.2175
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2234
Daily SMA501.2476
Daily SMA1001.2602
Daily SMA2001.2444
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2332
Previous Daily Low1.2172
Previous Weekly High1.2262
Previous Weekly Low1.2037
Previous Monthly High1.2713
Previous Monthly Low1.2111
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2233
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2271
Daily Pivot Point S11.2121
Daily Pivot Point S21.2066
Daily Pivot Point S31.1961
Daily Pivot Point R11.2281
Daily Pivot Point R21.2386
Daily Pivot Point R31.2441

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD trims gains, back to around 1.3500

GBP/USD now surrenders part of the earlier move to multi-week peaks around 1.3530 and comes close to the 1.3500 support on Monday. Cable’s uptick comes in tandem with decent gains in the Greenback, always amid persistent uncertainty lingering over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and US-Iran talks.

EUR/USD deflates to 1.1540

EUR/USD begins the week on the back foot, retesting the 1.1540 zone as the NA session draws to a close. The better tone in the US Dollar weighs on the risk complex, sparking the daily correction in spot, always on the back of unabated effervescence in the Middle East.

Gold clings to daily gains; focus is back to $4,400

Gold picks up pace and advances past the $4,350 mark per troy ounce, adding to Friday’s gains. That said, the yellow metal keeps pushing harder despite the better tone in the US Dollar, and is closely following the Fed’s interest-rate outlook as well as developments in the Middle East

Bitcoin vs Gold Overview: XAU tests breakout, BTC slides as Trump claims Iran negotiations
The cryptocurrency market shows signs of trimming gains accrued last week as Bitcoin (BTC) slides below $65,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Meanwhile, Gold (XAU/USD) maintains a bullish outlook, hovering above $4,350.
US Payrolls miss – RBA on deck tomorrow
It would be remiss of me not to kick off this morning’s report with a rundown of last Friday’s US jobs report, which was a belter. Headline payrolls fell by 23,000, versus expectations of an 80,000 gain. The BLS noted that May was revised down by 66,000 (from 129,000) and June by 37,000 (from 57,000), resulting in combined May-June revisions of 103,000 lower than previous reports.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.