|

GBP/USD continuing to slide, testing waters below 1.2250

  • The GBP/USD tumbled on a dovish BoE on Thursday.
  • Mixed PMIs for the US saw the USD take a step back, but Pound Sterling traders couldn't capitalize.
  • UK Retail Sales missed the mark, keeping the GBP in a bearish stance.

The GBP/USD is looking for further downside to end the trading week, probing chart space below 1.2250 heading into the final hours of Friday's trading session.

The UK's Bank of England (BoE) came in dovish this week after British inflation came in much lower than previously anticipated. The BoE held its benchmark rate at 5.25%, waffling on a market-expected 25-basis-point increase to 5.5%.

UK Retail Sales on Friday missed expectations, printing at 0.4%. The figure rebounded from the previous reading of -1.1%, but failed to capture the market forecast of 0.5%.

UK Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) figures mixed towards the downside, capping any upside potential for the Pound Sterling (GBP).

The preliminary UK S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMI for September declined to 46.8, missing the expected increase to 48.7. The previous month's PMI came in at 48.6.

The manufacturing component of the UK PMI came in better than expected at 48.9 versus the forecast 48.0, but the services sector PMI declined to 47.2 compared to the forecast 49.2.

On the US side, PMIs also came in mixed. The composite ticked lower to 50.1 from 50.2. The manufacturing PMI jumped to 48.9 from the previous 47.9, while the services component slipped to 50.2 from 50.5 and walking back the expected uptick to 50.6.

Read more:

BoE holds interest rate steady at 5.25% in split vote

UK Preliminary Services PMI declines to 47.2 in September vs. 49.5 expected

US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI improves to 48.9, Services PMI declines to 50.2 in September

GBP/USD technical outlook

The Pound Sterling continues to struggle against the US Dollar, with the GBP/USD down almost 1.5% from the week's high near 1.2425.

The pair briefly pierced the 100-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) on Wednesday but has fallen to the downside, now trading beneath the 34-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) currently drifting to the low side of 1.2280.

Daily candlesticks have the GBP/USD piercing the 200-day SMA just above 1.2400, and continued downside will see the pair set to challenge six-month lows, with little technical support between current prices and 2023's lows near 1.1825.

GBP/USD daily chart

GBP/USD technical levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2246
Today Daily Change-0.0052
Today Daily Change %-0.42
Today daily open1.2298
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2507
Daily SMA501.2683
Daily SMA1001.2647
Daily SMA2001.2434
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2352
Previous Daily Low1.2235
Previous Weekly High1.2548
Previous Weekly Low1.2379
Previous Monthly High1.2841
Previous Monthly Low1.2548
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.228
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2307
Daily Pivot Point S11.2238
Daily Pivot Point S21.2179
Daily Pivot Point S31.2122
Daily Pivot Point R11.2355
Daily Pivot Point R21.2411
Daily Pivot Point R31.2471

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD eyes 100-SMA hurdle near 0.7035 as hawkish RBA counters firmer USD

AUD/USD regains positive traction on Tuesday and climbs to 0.7030 during the Asian session, reversing the previous day's corrective slide from a one-month high as hawkish RBA rate expectations continue to support the Aussie. Spot prices, however, remain below the 100-day SMA pivotal resistance amid a firmer US Dollar as traders brace for Australia’s September CPI report on Wednesday ahead of the Fed rate decision.

USD/JPY sticks to modest gains above 157.50 as traders await Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts buyers for the third straight day, recovering further from a one-month low ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision and the BoJ policy update on Friday. Meanwhile, expectations that the BoJ may hold off on aggressive rate hikes weigh on the Japanese Yen, and the US Dollar advances to a nearly two-week high, supporting the currency pair.

Gold holds above $4,000 as traders brace for Fed interest rate decision

Gold edges higher during American trading hours on Tuesday after trading in negative territory earlier in the day. A slight decline in Oil prices offers some relief, although a firmer USD limits the upside as traders await the Fed’s monetary policy announcement on Wednesday.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP on edge as sell-side pressure intensifies

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly correcting on Tuesday, led by Bitcoin (BTC) edging lower below the pivotal $80,000 level. Ethereum (ETH) mirrors Bitcoin’s neutral-to-bearish outlook, while Ripple (XRP) hovers around $1.30.

Experts agree: Fed policy outlook and geopolitical tensions keep US Dollar bid

The US Dollar Index rallies 0.6% in three days and hits fresh two-week highs above 102.00. Investors return to the US Dollar as markets brace for a hawkish hold by the Fed on Wednesday. Waning hopes of any immediate US-Iran peace deal have provided additional support to the safe-haven USD.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.