|

GBP/USD consolidates in a range above 1.3300 mark, ignores upbeat UK Retail Sales

  • GBP/USD struggled to gain any meaningful traction and remained confined in range.
  • Upbeat UK Retail Sales data also did little to impress traders or provide any impetus.
  • COVID-19 jitters and the risk-off mood held back bulls from placing aggressive bets.

The GBP/USD pair held steady around the 1.3320 region through the early European session and had a rather muted reaction to the UK macro data.

A combination of diverging forces failed to provide any meaningful impetus to the GBP/USD pair and led to a subdued/range-bound price move on the last trading day of the week. The Bank of England delivered a surprise rate hike on Thursday, which, in turn, was seen as a key factor that underpinned the British pound. Apart from this, better-than-expected UK Retail Sales data extended some support to the major amid the prevalent US dollar selling bias.

The UK Office for National Statistics reported that the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level increased 1.4% in November. This was well above consensus estimates for a reading of 0.8% and 1.1% rise reported in the previous month. That said, worries about the economic risks stemming from the Omicron outbreak held back bulls from placing aggressive bets and kept a lid on any further gains for the GBP/USD pair, at least for now.

Meanwhile, the USD prolonged the post-FOMC retracement slide from the vicinity of a 16-month high and remained on the defensive through the first half of the trading on Friday. This, in turn, acted as a tailwind for the GBP/USD pair. Meanwhile, the risk-off impulse in the markets and the Fed's hawkish outlook extended some support to the safe-haven greenback. This, in turn, warrants some caution before positioning for any further appreciating move.

It is worth recalling that the Fed on Wednesday announced that it would double the pace of tapering to $30 billion per month. Moreover, the so-called dot plot showed that officials expect to raise the fed funds rate at least three times next year. This, in turn, supports prospects for the emergence of some dip-buying around the greenback.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3318
Today Daily Change-0.0007
Today Daily Change %-0.05
Today daily open1.3325
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3293
Daily SMA501.349
Daily SMA1001.3619
Daily SMA2001.3772
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3374
Previous Daily Low1.3241
Previous Weekly High1.3289
Previous Weekly Low1.3161
Previous Monthly High1.3698
Previous Monthly Low1.3194
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3324
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3292
Daily Pivot Point S11.3253
Daily Pivot Point S21.318
Daily Pivot Point S31.3119
Daily Pivot Point R11.3386
Daily Pivot Point R21.3447
Daily Pivot Point R31.3519

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD flirts with 0.7000, lowest since early August amid bullish USD

AUD/USD hits a fresh low since early August during the Asian session on Friday and looks vulnerable near 0.7000 after breaking below the 200-day SMA overnight. Against the backdrop of the hawkish Fed, a two-day rally in oil prices revives inflation fears and continues to push US bond yields to multi-year highs. Adding to this, geopolitical risks lift the US Dollar to a two-month high, overshadowing RBA rate hike bets and weighing on the pair.

USD/JPY pulls back from three-week high after failing near 159.00

USD/JPY edges lower during the Asian session on Friday, stalling its recent strong move to a three-week high of 159.00 as Japanese Yen bears turn cautious amid intervention fears. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a strong bullish undertone as the Fed's hawkish outlook and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year peaks. Furthermore, the BoJ's dovish rate hike last week might cap JPY and support spot prices.

Gold treads water below $4,300

Gold grabs some buying attention and advances marginally at the end of the week, partially retracing the weekly decline, although it is still navigating below the key $4,300 mark per troy ounce. The fresh selling bias on the Greenback and the modest decline in US Treasury yields appear to support the humble advance in the precious metal.

Week ahead: Rate hike bets face a crucial data week
Despite the solid drop from the mid-September high, oil prices remained in the driver’s seat for another week, setting the tone in financial markets. Six months have passed since the late-February start of the US-Iran conflict, and there is still no breakthrough in the stalled talks, despite pressure from regional leaders and the rest of the world.
CFTC Report: Defensive currency positioning takes hold
The week in one sentence: Sterling and Euro shorts deepened in the week to September 22, while Yen longs were cut sharply. Oil positioning improved despite a steep price decline, and Gold exposure remained crowded. The main signal was a more defensive currency positioning backdrop.
Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.