|

GBP/USD clings to the 1.3050 area post-Fed first rate hike since 2018

  • The US central bank hiked rates 25 bps, as widely expected by the markets.
  • The Brtish pound’s initial reaction was downwards, piercing the 1.3060, though of late extended losses towards 1.3050.
  • FOMC voted 8-1 with St. Louis Fed President Bullard favoring a 50 bps hike.

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) for the first time in three years. At press time, the GBP/USD is trading around 1.3053, clinging to 0.10% gains.

GBP/USD’s Market reaction

The British pound dropped from nearly 1.3100 towards 1.3060 once the headline crossed the wires, while the US 10-year Treasury note yield rose to 2.212%, the highest since May 2019.

Summary of remarks of Fed monetary policy statement

Fed officials noted that inflationary pressures remain high courtesy of supply difficulties and the pandemic. Furthermore, they said that the implications of the Russian war are “highly uncertain” for the US economy and would likely create additional upward pressure on inflation and weigh on economic activity.

Meanwhile, the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) revealed the dot-plot, where Fed board members expect at least seven hikes in 2022.

Regarding the labor market, the committee expects the Unemployment rate to hit 3.5% by the end of 2022 and remain at that level in the following year. Policymakers expected to begin reducing Fed’s holdings of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) at a coming meeting. They added that they would adjust monetary policy stance as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede Fed’s goals.

Noteworthy that the Federal Open Market Committee voted 8-1 with St. Louis President James Bullard dissenting, who favored a 50 basis point increase.

Hourly chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3057
Today Daily Change0.0015
Today Daily Change %0.12
Today daily open1.3042
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3331
Daily SMA501.3466
Daily SMA1001.3438
Daily SMA2001.3615
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3089
Previous Daily Low1.3
Previous Weekly High1.3246
Previous Weekly Low1.3028
Previous Monthly High1.3644
Previous Monthly Low1.3273
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3055
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3034
Daily Pivot Point S11.2999
Daily Pivot Point S21.2956
Daily Pivot Point S31.2911
Daily Pivot Point R11.3087
Daily Pivot Point R21.3132
Daily Pivot Point R31.3176

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits near a one-month top, above 0.7000 amid fresh USD selling

AUD/USD holds above 0.7000 through the Asian session, trading near a one-month high touched earlier this Monday amid renewed US Dollar selling. US bond yields decline further amid a modest pullback in crude oil prices, capping the USD recovery from a three-week low. Moreover, bets for a November RBA rate hike support the Aussie, though upside seems capped ahead of the crucial two-day FOMC meeting, starting Tuesday.

USD/JPY struggles below 157.00 on weak USD; holds above one-month low ahead of Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Monday, stalling its recovery from the lowest level since September 18, touched Friday as a further decline in US bond yields weighs on the US Dollar. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen benefits from a more hawkish BoJ, further weighing on the currency pair. The downside, however, seems limited as traders keenly await Fed and BoJ policy meetings later this week.

Gold looks slightly bid above $4,000

Gold manage to regain some balance, leaving behind two daily drops in a row and reclaiming the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce and above on Monday. The better tone in the US Dollar and mixed US Treasury yields accompany the precious metal’s uptick, while declining crude oil prices appear to sustain the bounce for now.

Bitcoin stalls around $80,000 as geopolitical tensions dampen risk appetite

Bitcoin hovers around $80,500 on Monday after three straight weeks of correction. Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to push oil prices higher, stoking inflation concerns and dampening risk appetite.

Everyone's bracing for a hawkish central bank week. Here's why the surprise could be dovish

Five of the world's major central banks are preparing to announce monetary policy decisions this week, with investors increasingly anticipating higher interest rates as the global energy shock continues to push inflation above target.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.