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GBP/USD clings to strong intraday gains, 1.4100 mark remains in sight

  • GBP/USD gained strong follow-through traction for the second straight session on Monday.
  • The Scottish election outlook provided some relief to the GBP and remained supportive.
  • A modest USD rebound – amid an uptick in the US bond yields – did little to hinder the move.

The GBP/USD pair shot to more than two-month tops during the first half of the European session, with bulls now eyeing a move towards reclaiming the 1.4100 round-figure mark.

The pair built on the previous session's post-NFP positive move and gained some strong follow-through traction on the first day of a new trading week. This marked the second consecutive session of solid gains and was exclusively sponsored by the outcome of the Scottish Parliament election.

Sturgeon’s Scottish National Party (SNP) recorded its fourth consecutive victory and won on 64 seats. This, however, was one short of an outright majority and helped ease the UK political risks, which, in turn, seemed to have prompted some aggressive short-covering around the British pound.

Apart from this, the possibilities of some trading stops being triggered on a sustained move beyond the key 1.4000 psychological mark further contributed to the momentum. Bulls seemed rather unaffected and largely shrugged off a modest US dollar rebound from more than two months.

The greenback found some support from a goodish pickup in the US Treasury bond yields, though lacked bullish conviction amid dovish Fed expectations. Friday's disappointing US monthly jobs report reaffirmed that the Fed will keep interest rates low for a longer period.

In fact, the headline NFP showed that the economy added only 266K new jobs in April. This was well below consensus estimates pointing to a reading of nearly one million. Adding to this, the unemployment rate unexpectedly edged higher to 6.1% from 6.0% in March.

There isn't any major market moving economic data due for release on Monday, either from the UK or the US. Hence, market participants will now look forward to the UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson's statement on further reopening of the UK economy for some meaningful trading opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.409
Today Daily Change0.0108
Today Daily Change %0.77
Today daily open1.3982
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3877
Daily SMA501.3858
Daily SMA1001.3784
Daily SMA2001.345
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.4006
Previous Daily Low1.3889
Previous Weekly High1.4006
Previous Weekly Low1.3801
Previous Monthly High1.4009
Previous Monthly Low1.3669
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3961
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3934
Daily Pivot Point S11.3912
Daily Pivot Point S21.3843
Daily Pivot Point S31.3796
Daily Pivot Point R11.4029
Daily Pivot Point R21.4075
Daily Pivot Point R31.4145

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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