|

GBP/USD: Bears continue to guard 1.2750/55 as UK readies for a no-Brexit deal

  • Upside appears limited amid Brexit uncertainty and US dollar pullback.
  • All eyes on FOMC minutes and the first of a series of notices on how to deal with a hard Brexit.

The GBP/USD pair set off the week on a weaker note, consolidating last week’s rebound near the midpoint of the 1.27 handle, as the markets remain cautious heading into the releases of the first of a series of notices on how to deal with a hard Brexit later this week.

The pound remains undermined by the looming Brexit uncertainty, as the UK government prepares for a no Brexit deal and especially in light of weekend’s report that the UK's no Brexit deal planning will rely heavily "on the availability of existing labor" in the event that talks break down.

Further, the GBP bulls take a back seat after the latest Institute of Directors (IOD) survey showed that the UK business leaders’ confidence in the economy fell to its lowest point this year on the back of the Brexit uncertainty.

However, Cable’s downside may found some cushion amid the recent series of upbeat UK economic releases, with the inflation rate edging higher alongside a rebound in the Kingdom’s retail volumes.

Meanwhile, the immediate focus now remains on the FOMC member Bostic’s speech for fresh US dollar trades, as developments around the US-China trade talks will continue to influence the buck ahead of the FOMC minutes.

GBP/USD Technical Levels

FXStreet’s Chief Analyst, Valeria Bednarik, notes: “The daily chart shows that the pair remains bearish and oversold, as the RSI indicator posted a modest upward correction, now heading higher at around 26, while the Momentum indicator holds directionless well into negative territory, as the 20 maintains its strong downward slope some 200 pips above the current level. In the 4 hours chart, the pair settled a few pips above a mild-bearish 20 SMA, while technical indicators entered the positive territory, the Momentum still heading higher and the RSI currently at around 52, rather reflecting the bounce from the low set at 1.2661 than suggesting further gains ahead. Support levels:  1.2700 1.2665 1.2620. Resistance levels: 1.2760 1.2790 1.2825.”

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD slides below 1.3250 after failing to break through 23.6% Fibo

The GBP/USD pair meets with a fresh supply during the Asian session on Wednesday and moves away from a nearly two-week high around the 1.3275 region, touched the previous day. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3235 zone, down 0.20% for the day, as traders look to speeches from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh for a fresh impetus.

EUR/USD trims losses, back above 1.1400

The US Dollar’s correction motivates EUR/USD to bounce off earlier lows and reclaim the area beyond the 1.1400 hurdle on Wednesday. The pair’s rebound follows the loss of momentum in the Greenback following auspicious news over a final US-Iran deal.

Gold advances to weekly highs near $4,100

Gold keeps pushing higher and climbs to multi-day peaks near the $4,100 mark per troy ounce on Wednesday. The precious metal’s marked rebound comes in response to the US Dollar’s knee-jerk, a somewhat less hawkish tone from the Fed’s Warsh and positive headlines from the Middle East.


A preview of NFP

The number is of much greater importance than usual as the Fed moves away from a forecasting framework and towards a current-data / rebuilding-credibility framework.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP stay under pressure as investors turn more risk-averse

The cryptocurrency market trades under intense headwinds on Wednesday, led by Bitcoin’s (BTC) deepening sell-off below $60,000. The Crypto King hovers above $58,000.

Just like Fed, is BoJ’s independence under threat?

When talking about central bank independence, most of the focus has been on Donald Trump’s pressure on the Federal Reserve. But a similar story, a quieter one for now, seems to be happening on the other side of the Pacific: Japan’s government may be testing the Bank of Japan’s independence.