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GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Struggles around 169.00, plunged 90 pips to 168.20s

  • GBP/JPY tumbled after testing 169.00, the head-and-shoulders right shoulder, so the pattern is still in play.
  • Short term, the GBP/JPY might consolidate around 168.00-169.00.
  • GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Break below 168.00 could pave the way toward 167.00.

The British Pound (GBP) climbed and tested the head-and-shoulders right shoulder but retreated after sellers stepped in just below the 169.00 figure, exacerbating a fall toward the 168.10 area. Hence, the GBP/JPY is trading at 168.16, registering minuscule losses of 0.04% as the Asian session begins.

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The GBP/JPY daily chart remains neutral-to-upward biased. Failure to break above the right shoulder kept the pattern intact; hence, further downside is expected. However, the GBP/JPY must clear the November 23 daily low of 167.69, which would exacerbate a fall towards the head-and-shoulders neckline around 165.30/50. Even though the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in bullish territory, its slope is flat, closer to the 50-midline. So, if the cross drops below 168.00, the RSI could give a sell signal, exacerbating a fall toward the neckline and beyond.

Short term, the GBP/JPY 4-hour chart depicts the cross advancing steadily on smaller chunks, registering a fresh daily high for the last eight days. On Wednesday, after hitting a daily high of 168.99, the cross plunged 90 pips as sellers stepped in on the top-trendline of an ascending channel. That said, the GBP/JPY is trading below Thursday’s daily pivot point, so the path of least resistance is downwards.

The GBP/JPY first support would be the confluence of the S1 pivot and the upslope trendline around 167.63. Once cleared, the next demand area will be the confluence of the 200-Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the S2 daily pivot at 167.01.

GBP/JPY Key Technical Levels

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price168.24
Today Daily Change0.34
Today Daily Change %0.20
Today daily open167.9
 
Trends
Daily SMA20167.46
Daily SMA50164.99
Daily SMA100164.1
Daily SMA200162.45
 
Levels
Previous Daily High168.31
Previous Daily Low167.35
Previous Weekly High167.32
Previous Weekly Low163.7
Previous Monthly High172.14
Previous Monthly Low159.73
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%167.72
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%167.95
Daily Pivot Point S1167.4
Daily Pivot Point S2166.89
Daily Pivot Point S3166.44
Daily Pivot Point R1168.36
Daily Pivot Point R2168.82
Daily Pivot Point R3169.32

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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