|

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Head-and-shoulders chart pattern in the H4 targets a fall towards 161.50

  • GBP/JPY is registering a minimal loss of 0.06% as the Asian session begins.
  • A risk-off impulse, alongside Japanese authorities’ verbal intervention in the FX markets, bolstered the yen against most G8 currencies.
  • The GBP/JPY 4-hour chart portrayed the formation of a head-and-shoulders pattern which targets a drop to 161.50.

On Thursday, the GBP/JPY extended its losses for the third consecutive trading day, courtesy of a risk-off impulse that kept investors leaning toward less risky assets, turning to the greenback alongside US Treasuries. Meanwhile, US equities finished with losses between 0.66% and 1.71%. At the time of writing, the GBP/JPY is trading at 164.31, below its opening price by 0.08%.

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

During the week, the GBP/JPY hit a weekly high at around 167.94 before retreating due to some factors. Rumors of Japanese authorities intervening in the Forex Markets caused a Japanese yen repricing across most crosses. Therefore, the GBP/JPY tumbled on sentiment, though it’s testing the September 9 cycle low at 164.30. If the latter gives way, the pair could drop towards a confluence area with the 20, 50, and 100-day EMAs, around 163.00-34.

The GBP/JPY 4-hour chart confirms the bearish bias in the near term. A head-and-shoulders chart pattern emerged, which, measured by the distance of the head-to-the-neckline, would target a drop from current spot prices toward 161.50. therefore, the GBP/JPY first support would be the S1 pivot at 164.01. A breach of the latter will expose the confluence of the S2 daily pivot and the 100-EMA at 163.52, ahead of the confluence of the 200-EMA and the S3 pivot at 162.82, ahead of the161-50 target.

GBP/JPY Key Technical Levels

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price164.38
Today Daily Change-0.74
Today Daily Change %-0.45
Today daily open165.12
 
Trends
Daily SMA20163.15
Daily SMA50163.26
Daily SMA100163.04
Daily SMA200159.92
 
Levels
Previous Daily High166.51
Previous Daily Low164.76
Previous Weekly High166.32
Previous Weekly Low160.66
Previous Monthly High163.99
Previous Monthly Low159.45
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%165.43
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%165.84
Daily Pivot Point S1164.41
Daily Pivot Point S2163.71
Daily Pivot Point S3162.66
Daily Pivot Point R1166.17
Daily Pivot Point R2167.22
Daily Pivot Point R3167.92

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD climbs to four-day highs near 1.3250

GBP/USD rapidly reverses Friday’s small losses and challenges the 1.3250 level, or four-day tops, at the beginning of the week. Cable’s upside comes on the back of further loss of momentum in the Greenback, while traders continue to assess the geopolitical front and upcoming key events.

EUR/USD extends the advance past 1.1400

EUR/USD starts the week on a positive note, trading above 1.1400 on Monday as broad-based US Dollar weakness lends support to the pair. In the meantime, investors continue to monitor developments surrounding efforts to end the US-Iran conflict, while attention gradually shifts to the ECB's annual forum and the US NFP data.

Gold falters just ahead of $4,100

Gold remains under modest bearish pressure just above the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce on Monday. The yellow metal struggles to extend its recent gains as renewed effervescence in the Middle East revives inflation concerns and bolsters Fed rate hike expectations.

Bitcoin four-year cycle: BTC risks 75% drawdown with four months of bear market still ahead

Bitcoin price continues to trend downward below the $60,000 support zone after losing over 50% of its value since the $126,199 high in October. Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, measured from cycle tops to bottoms, suggests that four months of a bear market are still ahead.

Just like Fed, is BoJ’s independence under threat?

When talking about central bank independence, most of the focus has been on Donald Trump’s pressure on the Federal Reserve. But a similar story, a quieter one for now, seems to be happening on the other side of the Pacific: Japan’s government may be testing the Bank of Japan’s independence.

Kevin Warsh isn't expected to say much in Sintra: That's exactly why markets will listen

Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of Sintra this week. The ECB Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks. The new boss at the Fed, who has clearly said that the Fed should stop explaining everything, will need to talk – and traders should listen.