|

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Head-and-shoulders chart pattern in the H4 targets a fall towards 161.50

  • GBP/JPY is registering a minimal loss of 0.06% as the Asian session begins.
  • A risk-off impulse, alongside Japanese authorities’ verbal intervention in the FX markets, bolstered the yen against most G8 currencies.
  • The GBP/JPY 4-hour chart portrayed the formation of a head-and-shoulders pattern which targets a drop to 161.50.

On Thursday, the GBP/JPY extended its losses for the third consecutive trading day, courtesy of a risk-off impulse that kept investors leaning toward less risky assets, turning to the greenback alongside US Treasuries. Meanwhile, US equities finished with losses between 0.66% and 1.71%. At the time of writing, the GBP/JPY is trading at 164.31, below its opening price by 0.08%.

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

During the week, the GBP/JPY hit a weekly high at around 167.94 before retreating due to some factors. Rumors of Japanese authorities intervening in the Forex Markets caused a Japanese yen repricing across most crosses. Therefore, the GBP/JPY tumbled on sentiment, though it’s testing the September 9 cycle low at 164.30. If the latter gives way, the pair could drop towards a confluence area with the 20, 50, and 100-day EMAs, around 163.00-34.

The GBP/JPY 4-hour chart confirms the bearish bias in the near term. A head-and-shoulders chart pattern emerged, which, measured by the distance of the head-to-the-neckline, would target a drop from current spot prices toward 161.50. therefore, the GBP/JPY first support would be the S1 pivot at 164.01. A breach of the latter will expose the confluence of the S2 daily pivot and the 100-EMA at 163.52, ahead of the confluence of the 200-EMA and the S3 pivot at 162.82, ahead of the161-50 target.

GBP/JPY Key Technical Levels

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price164.38
Today Daily Change-0.74
Today Daily Change %-0.45
Today daily open165.12
 
Trends
Daily SMA20163.15
Daily SMA50163.26
Daily SMA100163.04
Daily SMA200159.92
 
Levels
Previous Daily High166.51
Previous Daily Low164.76
Previous Weekly High166.32
Previous Weekly Low160.66
Previous Monthly High163.99
Previous Monthly Low159.45
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%165.43
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%165.84
Daily Pivot Point S1164.41
Daily Pivot Point S2163.71
Daily Pivot Point S3162.66
Daily Pivot Point R1166.17
Daily Pivot Point R2167.22
Daily Pivot Point R3167.92

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key US data releases and the ECB policy announcements.

GBP/USD edges higher toward 1.3400 as traders await key data and BoE

GBP/USD reverses its direction and advances toward 1.3400 following a drop to the 1.3350 area earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to gather recovery momentum as markets await Tuesday's Nonfarm Payrolls data, while the Pound Sterling holds steady ahead of the BoE policy announcements later in the week.

Gold builds on previous week's gains, approaches $4,350

Gold preserves its bullish momentum after rising more than 2% last week and climbs toward $4,350 on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside as the US Dollar remains on the back foot on growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy outlook next year.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.