|

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Advances towards the 100-DMA, as bulls target the 50-DMA at 154.50

  • On Monday, the GBP/JPY seesawed between the 200 and 100-DMA but ended in a bullish tone.
  • The equity markets finished mixed, while the CHF rose almost 1% in the FX space.
  • GBP/JPY Technical Outlook: Neutral-bullish, but downside risks remain due to the closeness of the 200-DM.

The British pound finished Monday’s session in the green following a gap down attributed to geopolitical concerns linked to Ukraine – Russian war. On the weekend, West countries like the US, UK, and Canada, alongside the Eurozone, imposed “rigid” sanctions on Russian Government officials and oligarchs linked to Russian President Putin’s regime. That said, the GBP/JPY gapped down from February 25 close at 154.84 to 153.29, nearby the 200-day moving average (DMA) amid a risk-off market mood, though achieve to recover from daily lows. At the time of writing, the GBP/JPY is trading at 154.29.

Wall Street’s, reflected the actual downbear market mood, as shown by  US equities finished in the red, except for the Nasdaq Composite, rising 0.34%, finishing at 14,237.81. In the FX space, the main winners were the CHF, followed by the NZD and the JPY, while the EUR was the laggard of the day.

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

In the overnight for North American traders, the GBP/JPY resumed its upward move, after gapping down, aimed towards the 155.00 mark, but failed short 2-pips. Then, the pair dropped to the 154.00 area and stabilized around 154.30.

The GBP/JPY is neutral biased. Monday’s price action seesawed between the 200-DMA on the bottom and the 100-DMA on the top but ultimately closed seven-pips short of the latter.

Therefore, the GBP/JPY is neutral-upward biased though downside risks remain, to the closeness of the 200-DMA. The cross-currency pair’s first resistance would be the 100-DMA at 154.38. Breach of the latter would expose 155.00, followed by the 50-DMA at 155.48.

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price154.37
Today Daily Change-0.58
Today Daily Change %-0.37
Today daily open154.95
 
Trends
Daily SMA20156.01
Daily SMA50155.41
Daily SMA100154.44
Daily SMA200153.46
 
Levels
Previous Daily High155.18
Previous Daily Low154.16
Previous Weekly High156.78
Previous Weekly Low153.37
Previous Monthly High157.77
Previous Monthly Low152.91
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%154.79
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%154.55
Daily Pivot Point S1154.34
Daily Pivot Point S2153.74
Daily Pivot Point S3153.32
Daily Pivot Point R1155.37
Daily Pivot Point R2155.79
Daily Pivot Point R3156.4

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD remains in two-day highs around 1.3260

GBP/USD adds to Friday’s bounce, gathering fresh traction and flirting with the 1.3270 zone on Monday, or two-day tops. Cable’s decent advance comes despite the move higher in the Greenback and investors’ assessing of UK PM K. Starmer's resignation.

EUR/USD remains close to three-month lows near 1.1450

EUR/USD sets aside Friday’s bounce and trades with modest losses in the mid-1.1400s at the beginning of the week. The continuation of the bid bias in the US Dollar continues to weigh on spot despite improving sentiment from the geopolitical front.

Gold bounces off lows, looks to surpass $4,200

Gold regains composure and leaves behind three-consecutive daily declines on Monday, looking to regain the area above the $4,200 mark per troy ounce. Reports of progress in the latest round of US-Iran talks are helping the precious metal maintain its footing at the start of the week, although the stronger Greenback seems to limit the upside potential for now.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation
Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."
Is Shiba Inu dead or just in a crisis? The data behind SHIB's 95% crash

SHIB, the dog-themed meme coin that became one of the biggest success stories in crypto and turned early buyers into crypto millionaires, is facing tough times. Its price has fallen more than 32% so far this year, and it is down 95% from its all-time high in 2021. Is SHIB simply another fading meme coin, or is the market overlooking a possible recovery story?

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.