|

FX Today: UK jobs report and the weekly ADP figures take centre stage

The US Dollar (USD) traded without clear direction on Monday, as hopes grew for a potential deal to end the 40-day federal government shutdown in the coming days. With that in mind, investors are likely to turn their focus back to the US data calendar amid fading expectations for another Fed rate cut in December.

Here’s what to watch on Tuesday, November 11:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) picked up pace and advanced modestly, revisiting the 99.70 region amid higher US Treasury yields across the curve and rising hopes of an end to the US shutdown. The NFIB Business Optimism Index and the ADP Employment Change Weekly are due.

EUR/USD halted its recent recovery, coming under fresh downside pressure and retesting the area below 1.1550. The ZEW Economic Sentiment in Germany and the euro area is due alongside the speech by the ECB’s Lagarde.

GBP/USD added to its ongoing rebound, coming closer to the 1.3200 mark despite the Greenback’s humble advance. The BRC Retail Sales Monitor will precede the release of the UK labour market report.

USD/JPY climbed to three-day peaks past the 154.00 hurdle following further depreciation of the Japanese Yen, adding to Friday’s positive performance. Next on tap will be the Bank Lending figures followed by Current Account results and the Eco Watchers Survey.

AUD/USD rose to four-day tops, revisiting the 0.6540 zone, an area coincident with its provisional 100-day SMA. Next in Oz will be the Westpac Consumer Confidence index along with the NAB Business Confidence index.

The price of a barrel of American WTI built on Friday’s advance and surpassed the key $60.00 mark amid steady oversupply concerns and a better tone in the risk complex.

Gold flirted with three-week high past the $4,100 mark per troy ounce as traders continued to pencil in further easing by the Federal Reserve. In the same direction, Silver prices, advanced sharply, hitting three-week peaks just above the key $50.00 mark per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD off three-month highs, holds near 1.1800 on softer US Dollar

EUR/USD consolidates gains below 1.1800 in the European trading hours on Wednesday. A broadly subdued US Dollar continues to underpin the pair amid quiet markets and thin liquidity conditions on Christmas Eve. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 in the European session on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders turn to sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs amid profit-taking on Christmas Eve

Gold retreats following the move higher to the $4,525 area, or a fresh all-time peak, though the downside remains limited amid a bullish fundamental backdrop. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Shiba Inu's bears tighten grip, aiming for yearly lows

Shiba Inu price remains under pressure, trading below $0.000070 on Wednesday as bearish momentum continues to dominate the broader crypto market. On-chain and derivatives data further support the bearish sentiment, while technical analysis suggests a deeper correction targeting the yearly lows.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Stellar Price Forecast: XLM slips below $0.22 as bearish momentum builds

Stellar (XLM) price is trading below $0.22 at the time of writing on Wednesday after failing to close above the key resistance earlier this week. Bearish momentum continues to strengthen, with open interest falling and short bets rising.