|

Forex Today: US Dollar weakens to start last trading week of 2022

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, December 27:

Following the three-day weekend, the US Dollar struggles to find demand on Tuesday with the US Dollar Index trading in negative territory below 104.00 following a bearish gap at the opening. November Goods Trade Balance and October Housing Price Index data will be featured in the US economic docket later in the day. US stock index futures trade in positive territory and the 10-year US Treasury bond yield holds steady near above 3.75%.

Earlier in the day, China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said that they had revised the country’s estimate of 2021 gross domestic product (GDP) growth to 8.4% from 8.1% previously. On a concerning note, reports suggest that China's hospitals are overwhelmed with the number of confirmed coronavirus cases rapidly rising since the country took steps to ease restrictions. Meanwhile, Japan Prime Minister Fumio Kishida announced on Tuesday that they will be requiring travellers from China to quarantine for seven days if they test positive for COVID-19 and added that they will be placing limits on airlines' requests to increase flights to China.

Nevertheless, the relatively upbeat risk mood stays intact in the European morning, making it difficult for the safe haven US Dollar to stay resilient against its rivals. Ahead of the Christmas holiday, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose by 0.2% on a monthly basis, brining the annual rate down to 4.7% from 5% in October. Both of these readings came in line with analysts' forecasts.

EUR/USD capitalized on the selling pressure surrounding the US Dollar and climbed above 1.0650 in the European morning on Tuesday.

After having fluctuated in a narrow range during the Asian trading hours, GBP/USD started to stretch higher and was last seen trading above 1.2100.

USD/JPY stays relatively quiet below 133.00 despite the US Dollar weakness. Earlier in the day, Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said that the decision to tweak the yield curve control strategy was "absolutely no a first step" towards an exit from ultra-loose monetary policy, making it difficult for the Japanese Yen to find demand. 

Gold price edges higher during the European trading hours and trades above $1,807 after having opened with a small bullish gap.

Bitcoin extends its sideways grind slightly below $17,000 early Tuesday. Ethereum struggles to find direction and moves up and down in a narrow channel at around $1,200.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10
Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.
 Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.