|

Forex Today: US Dollar pulls away from multi-month highs to start critical data week

Here is what you need to know on Monday, August 28:

The US Dollar struggles to find demand at the beginning of the new week. After posting gains for the sixth straight week, the US Dollar Index stays in negative territory in the European morning. The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey will be featured in the US economic docket. Later in the week, investors will pay close attention to high-impact data releases, including inflation figures from major economies and employment data from the US.

US Dollar price today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the weakest against the Euro.

 USDEURGBPCADAUDJPYNZDCHF
USD -0.18%-0.13%-0.04%-0.11%-0.13%-0.08%-0.17%
EUR0.18% 0.05%0.15%0.07%0.05%0.10%-0.02%
GBP0.14%-0.04% 0.09%0.02%0.00%0.04%-0.06%
CAD0.05%-0.15%-0.10% -0.07%-0.10%-0.06%-0.15%
AUD0.11%-0.07%-0.02%0.07% -0.02%0.01%-0.08%
JPY0.13%-0.04%0.01%0.08%0.02% 0.04%-0.06%
NZD0.08%-0.10%-0.06%0.05%-0.03%-0.05% -0.12%
CHF0.19%0.02%0.05%0.15%0.08%0.05%0.08% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/JPY (quote).

While speaking at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium on Friday, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell repeated that they are prepared to raise rates further if appropriate and said that they proceed carefully when deciding to hike again or hold steady. Although these comments helped the USD Index climb to its highest level in nearly three months at 104.45 late Friday, the positive shift seen in risk mood forced it to start retreating. Early Monday, US stock index futures trade in positive territory, making it difficult for the USD to build on the previous week's gains. 

China's Finance Ministry announced early Monday that they halved the stamp duty to 0.1% on stocks trading in an attempt to "invigorate the capital market and boost investor confidence." Earlier in the Asian session, the data from Australia showed that Retail Sales rose 0.5% on a monthly basis in July, slightly better than the market expectation for an increase of 0.3%. Supported by the improving risk mood and upbeat data, AUD/USD gained traction and was last seen trading in positive territory above 0.6400.

Following a volatile American session on Friday, EUR/USD settled at around 1.0800 for the week. Early Monday, the pair benefits from the renewed USD weakness and trades modestly higher on the day. Late Friday, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said setting interest rates at sufficiently restrictive levels for as long as necessary will help them achieve a timely return of inflation to the 2% medium-term target. Later in the day, Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel is scheduled to deliver a speech.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Governor Kazuo Ueda reiterated over the weekend they will stick to the current monetary easing framework, given the underlying inflation is still "a bit below" the BoJ's target. USD/JPY started the new week in a calm manner and was last seen posting small daily gains near 146.50. 

GBP/USD spent the Asian session in a tight channel at around 1.2600 on Monday before starting edge lower in the European morning.

Gold price snapped a four-week losing streak after managing to reclaim $1,900. With the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield moving sideways near 4.25% on Monday, XAU/USD holds steady slightly above $1,910.

Bitcoin continues to move up and down in a narrow ban at around $26,000 and Ethereum edges lower toward $1,600 in the European morning.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD defends 0.7000 ahead of RBA on Tuesday

AUD/USD is defending 0.7000 at the start of a new week, trading near its lowest level since August 4 amid a bullish US Dollar. US yields hold near multi-year highs amid inflation risks from higher oil prices and rising bets on an October Fed rate hike. This, along with the US-Iran standoff, continues to underpin the safe-haven buck and weigh on the pair ahead of Tuesday's RBA policy announcements.

USD/JPY climbs back toward 158.00 after BoJ minutes amid firm USD

USD/JPY finds dip-buyers and reverses part of Friday's slide driven by speculation that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. However, the BoJ's dovish Minutes cap the JPY. Meanwhile, the US Dollar regains traction as the US-Iran standoff supports crude oil prices, fueling inflation fears and reaffirming bets for an October Fed rate hike. This further supports the pair, driving it back toward 158.00.

Gold tumbles further; focus shifts to $4,100

Gold kicks in the week on the back foot, selling off to the vicinity of the $4,100 mark per troy ounce, levels last traded back in early August. The resurgence of geopolitical concerns in combination with the firmer US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields keep the yellow metal under heavy pressure on Monday.

Bitcoin dips as ETF inflows meet Fed headwinds

Bitcoin trades below $82,800 at the time of writing on Monday after gaining over 4% last week, with the rally losing momentum near recent highs. Strong institutional demand, supported by spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund inflows, continues to drive demand.

The week ahead: A key moment for the global economy as threats rise

UK diesel hits a record, as economic concerns rise. The market expects an aggressive Fed rate hiking cycle, but is it necessary? Oil supply concerns ease, even as oil prices rise. What’s next for the AI trade.

Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.