|

Forex Today: Soft UK inflation weighs on Pound Sterling, US Dollar awaits housing data

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, July 19:

Pound Sterling weakens against its major rivals early Wednesday following the softer-than-expected inflation readings for June. Eurostat will release revisions to the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) prints for June and the US economic docket will feature Housing Starts and Building Permits.  

Inflation in the UK, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), declined to 7.9% on a yearly basis in June from 8.7% in May. This figure came in lower than the market expectation of 8.2%. Moreover, the Core CPI edged lower to 6.9% from 7.1% in the same period, while the Producer Price Index (Input) declined 2.7%. Finally, the Retail Price Index rose 0.3% on a monthly basis, down from a 0.7% increase recorded in May. Following these reading, GBP/USD came under heavy bearish pressure and dropped to its lowest level in a week below 1.2950.

UK CPI inflation slows sharply to 7.9% in June, disappoints BoE hawks.

Reflecting the broad GBP weakness, EUR/GBP was last seen trading at its highest level since late May above 0.8650 and GBP/JPY was down 0.3% at 180.50.

On Tuesday, the US Dollar Index (DXY) managed to edge higher in the early American session despite mixed macroeconomic data releases but lost its bullish momentum. The risk-positive atmosphere made it difficult for the US Dollar to gather further strength and the DXY posted small gains. Early Wednesday, the DXY stays in positive territory above 100.00.

EUR/USD stays on the back foot and edges lower toward 1.1200 in the early European session. The sharp upsurge seen in EUR/GBP, however, helps the pair limit its losses for the time being. Annual HICP for the Eurozone is expected to be confirmed at 5.5%.

In the Asian session, the data from New Zealand revealed that the annual CPI declined to 6% in the second quarter from 6.7% in the first quarter, compared to the market expectation of 5.9%. NZD/USD edged higher with the initial reaction but reversed its direction heading into the European session. As of writing, the pair was down more than 0.5% on the day at 0.6230.

Following Tuesday's choppy action, USD/JPY gained traction and climbed above 139.50 in the European morning on Wednesday.

Gold benefited from the extended slide seen in US Treasury bond yields on Tuesday and rose to its strongest level in nearly three months above $1,980. XAU/USD stays in a consolidation phase and fluctuates below $1,980 early Wednesday.

Bitcoin closed in the red for the fifth straight day on Tuesday but recovered back above $30,000 early Wednesday. Ethereum holds steady at around $1,900 after having registered small losses on Tuesday.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.