|

Forex Today: Risk-off to take over amid Trump’s health, no Brexit progress

Here is what you need to know on Monday, October 5:

 The coronavirus extended its claws to the White House. US President Trump announced on Friday that he and his wife Melania contracted COVID-19. As the day went by, the news reported that several of his advisor and staff members also caught the virus. Risk-off lead the way, helping the greenback to recover some ground. Nevertheless, the US currency ended the week with losses against all of its major rivals.

Trump’s health is the main theme ahead of the weekly opening. Weekend reports about his progress were contradictory, although Trump himself published a video late Saturday, indicating that he is feeling a bit better and that he continues to lead the country. The news few days will be critical, and headlines related to his health will likely trigger risk-sentiment related movements across the board.

On Friday, the US published the September monthly employment report, which showed that the country added a measly 661K new jobs, well below expected. The report fueled the dismal mood. The EUR/USD pair finished the day at around 1.1715, holding on to modest weekly gains.

The GBP/USD pair ended the week with substantial gains near 1.2978, amid hopes for a post-Brexit trade deal. Over the weekend, UK PM Boris Johnson and EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen met and approved a further month of negotiations after agreeing progress has been made but  "significant gaps" remain. Chief negotiators have been instructed to  "work intensively" to close such gaps.

The USD/JPY pair traded alongside US Treasury yields, ending the week unchanged at around 105.40. Yields advanced, despite the risk-off mood that put equities under selling pressure.

Commodity-linked currencies were among the best performers, holding on to most of their weekly gains, despite falls in gold and crude oil. Gold flirted with 1,920 to settle at 1,890. WTI settled at $37.00 a barrel, its lowest settlement in three weeks.

Australia and China are on holidays at the beginning of the week, although the first will release some macroeconomic figures.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC screams sell as $10,000 beckons

Author

More from FXStreet Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD steadies around 1.1700, with eyes on key EU/ US data

EUR/USD keeps its range intact around 1.1700 in European trading hours on Wednesday. The pair awaits key Eurozone inflation and US jobs numbers for a fresh directional impetus. In the meantime, a broadly subdued US Dollar keeps the major supported. 

GBP/USD holds gains above 1.3500 as USD slips ahead of US data

GBP/USD gains some ground above 1.3500 on Wednesday after registering modest gains in the previous session. The pair edges higher as the US Dollar struggles ahead of the US ADP Employment Change, JOLTS Job Openings and ISM Services Purchasing Managers’ Index due later in the day.

Gold corrects from $4,500 amid profit-taking ahead of US data

Gold struggles to capitalize on its strong weekly gains registered over the past two days and faces rejection near the $4,500 psychological mark, or over a one-week high touched during the Asian session on Wednesday. As investors digest the recent US attack on Venezuela, the prevalent risk-on environment prompts some profit-taking around the commodity. 

ADP Employment Report set to show moderate rebound in December after November’s drop

The Automatic Data Processing Research Institute will release its monthly Employment Change Report for December on Wednesday. The ADP report is expected to show that the United States economy created 45,000 jobs in the last month of 2025, to offset the 32.000 net employment loss seen in November.

Implications of US intervention in Venezuela

Events in Venezuela are top of mind for market participants, and while developments are associated with an elevated degree of uncertainty, we are not making any changes to our markets or economic forecasts as a result of the deposition of Nicolás Maduro. 

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE eyes bullish breakout as on-chain and derivatives data turns supportive

Aave (AAVE) price hovers around $172 on Wednesday, nearing the upper trendline of the falling parallel channel pattern. A break above this technical pattern favors the bulls.