|

Forex Today: Risk mood improves ahead of US consumer sentiment data

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, July 25:

Risk flows dominated the financial markets during the Asian trading on hopes of Chinese economy picking up steam on additional stimulus measures. Investors seem to have turned slightly cautious in the European morning, with US stock index futures trading mixed. In the second half of the day, Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index data will be featured in the US economic docket alongside May Housing Price Index.

Chinese news agency Xinhua reported earlier in the day that the Politburo - the top decision-making body of the ruling Communist Party - announced that they will step up economic policy adjustments, focusing on expanding domestic demand, boosting confidence. The Shanghai Composite Index gained more than 2% on Tuesday and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose nearly 4%. 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) closed the fifth straight day in positive territory on Monday. In the European session, the DXY stays in a consolidation phase below 101.50. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield continues to edge higher toward 3.9% ahead of the Federal Reserve's critical monetary policy announcements on Wednesday.

Earlier in the day, the data from Germany revealed that the headline IFO Business Climate Index declined to 87.3 in July from 88.6 in June. This reading came in weaker than the market expectation of 88.0. The IFO Expectations Index – indicating firms’ projections for the next six months, fell to 83.5 in July from the previous month’s 83.8 reading. Following a recovery attempt toward 1.1100, EUR/USD lost its traction and declined to the 1.1050 area.

The upbeat market mood in the Asian session provided a boost to AUD/USD. The pair was last seen rising 0.5% on a daily basis slightly above 0.6770.

GBP/USD dropped below 1.2800 for the first time in two weeks on Monday. Early Tuesday, the pair stages a technical correction and trades in positive territory above 1.2850.

USD/JPY snapped a four-day winning streak and closed in the red on Monday. The pair continues to inch lower toward 141.00 in the European session. In a recently published report, the Japanese government said that inflation is seen staying around 0.7% in the longer term. “Wages are projected to increase by 2.5% in FY24, following a 2.6% jump in FY23,” the statement further read.

Pressured by rising US Treasury bond yields, gold price closed below $1,960 on Monday. XAU/USD clings to modest daily gains early Tuesday and trades at around $1,960.

Bitcoin broke below its 10-day-old trading range and touched its lowest level in a month at $28,850 on Monday. BTC/USD struggles to stage a rebound and trades slightly above $29,000. Ethereum lost 2% on the first trading day of the week before going into a consolidation phase at around $1,850.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.