|

Forex Today: PMI surveys kickstart all-important central bank week

Here is what you need to know on Monday, July 24:

Financial markets stay relatively calm early Monday and major currency pairs trade near the previous week's closing levels. S&P Global will release preliminary Manufacturing and Services PMI surveys for Germany, the Eurozone, the UK and the US later. The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago's National Activity Index will also be featured in the US economic docket ahead of this week's critical central bank policy meetings.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) snapped a two-week losing streak and gained more than 1% last week, while the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield recovered back above 3.8%. In the European morning, the DXY consolidates its gains near 101.00 and the 10-year yield hold steady at around 3.8%. Following the mixed action seen in Wall Street, US stock index futures trade virtually unchanged on the day in the early European session.

During the Asian trading hours, China state planner National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) announced that they will "guide and strengthen financing support for private-invested projects." The Shanghai Composite remains on track to end the day with small losses.

The data from Australia showed that the S&P Global Composite PMI declined to 48.3 in July from 50.1 in June, revealing a contraction in the private sector's business activity. AUD/USD edged lower toward 0.6700 following this data before recovering modestly in the European morning.

Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI in Japan declined to 49.4 in July and the Services PMI stood unchanged at 52.1. In the meantime, "the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is likely to revise inflation projections up," said Japan's top currency diplomat Masato Kanda ahead of Friday's policy announcements. After having gained nearly 300 pips, USD/JPY moves up and down in a tight channel at around 141.50 on Monday.

EUR/USD held steady on Friday and ended the week slightly above 1.1100. The pair moves sideways below 1.1150 ahead of PMI releases. In Spain, the center-right Popular Party won the snap election but fell short of gaining a parliamentary majority. 

GBP/USD stays in a consolidation phase above 1.2850 on Monday after having closed every day of the previous week in negative territory.

Despite the downward correction seen in the second half of the previous week, Gold posted small weekly gains. XAU/USD trades in a very narrow range at around $1,960 in the European morning.

Bitcoin failed to end the week above $30,000 despite having climbed above that level on Sunday. BTC/USD was last seen losing nearly 1% on the day at around $29,800. Ethereum rose more than 1% on Sunday but already erased the majority of those gains, returning below $1,900 on Monday.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.