Forex Today: Negative impact of risk appetite on dollar countered by rising yields


Here is what you need to know on Thursday, October 21:

The risk-positive market environment makes it difficult for the dollar to find demand in the second half of the week but rising US Treasury bond yields continue to help the currency limit its losses against its major rivals. Ahead of mid-tier data releases from the US - weekly Initial Jobless Claims, Existing Home Sales and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey, the US Dollar Index holds above 93.50.

Macro data: The data from the euro area showed on Wednesday that the annual Consumer Price Index remained steady at 3.4% in September as expected. In Canada, the CPI climbed to 4.4% from 4.1% and beat the market expectation of 4.3%. The Federal Reserve's Beige Book showed that the US economy continued to grow at a "modest to moderate" pace in September and early October. “Many firms raised selling prices indicating a greater ability to pass along cost increases to customers amid strong demand,” the publication further revealed.

Wall Street: The S&P 500 Index gained 0.37% and stays within a touching distance of the record-high it set at 4,545 in early September. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.43% and the Nasdaq Composite closed virtually unchanged. It's also worth noting that US stocks futures are down between 0.3% and 0.4% in the early European session, suggesting that investors could look for an opportunity to book their profits ahead of the weekend. Additionally, the Nikkei 225 Index is down more than 1.5%. Meanwhile, Reuters reported that the Chinese real-estate giant Evergrande secured an extension on the defaulted $260 million worth of bonds.

The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield, which closed the previous four days in the positive territory, is staying relatively quiet around 1.65%.

EUR/USD's slightly bullish bias remains intact but the pair seems to have gone into a consolidation phase around mid-1.1600s. The dollar's market valuation is likely to remain the primary driver of the pair's action.

GBP/USD staged a downward correction after the CPI data from the UK arrived below analysts' estimate but managed to return to 1.3800 area. The Bank of England's rate hike expectations support the British pound.

Once again, AUD/USD and NZD/USD capitalized on risk flows on Wednesday and registered impressive gains. A negative shift in market sentiment could trigger an overdue correction in those pairs.

Gold rose 0.7% on Wednesday and clings to small gains above $1,780 on Thursday. Key resistance for XAU/USD aligns at $1,800 and a daily close above that level could bring in additional buyers.

Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin reached a new record high of $67,000 on Wednesday and edged lower toward $65,000 on Thursday. Institutional demand following the introduction of the first BTC ETF is expected to increase and support Bitcoin. Ethereum also capitalized on the upbeat sentiment surrounding cryptocurrencies and broke above $4,000. 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.

GBP/USD News

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses. 

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000

Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors. 

Read more

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures