|

Forex Today: Markets shrug off horrible US jobs data, Bitcoin tumbles ahead of halving, lockdowns eyed

Here is what you need to know on Monday, May 11:

The week has kicked off where it ended, with cautious optimism in stocks, a marginally weaker dollar and only oil prices are on the back foot. Bad news seems to be priced in.

Coronavirus: Total confirmed cases have surpassed four million cases, with figures falling in Europe but flare-ups reported in South Korea and a new cluster in Wuhan, China. US infections remain elevated outside the New York area. 

America lost over 20 million jobs in April, within expectations, and the Unemployment Rate hit 14.7% as of mid-April, with employment losses reaching even the healthcare sector. The labor situation may get worse. The devastating figures were shrugged off by markets. Fresh consumer figures for April stand out later in the week. 

See US Non-Farm Payrolls Quick Analysis: When the worst sends markets higher

President Donald Trump reiterated his urge to return to normal while the disease has reached the White House with several cases reported among staff. Vice President Mike Pence is working out of the White House. 

Europe: France, Spain, and other countries are taking additional steps to ease the lockdowns as COVID-19 statistics improve across the continent. German's Reproductive rate (R) has topped 1 and caused some worried.

The European Commission is threatening to sue Germany over the country's constitutional court ruling that parts of the European Central Bank's bond-buying scheme is illegal. ECB President Christine Lagarde committed to doing whatever is necessary. EUR/USD is stable around 1.0850. 

UK: Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced a minor easing of the lockdown with further steps to conditionally come in June and July. His message was criticized by various groups and more clarity may come later in the day. Brexit talks resume as the EU accuses Britain of slow-walking topics that matter to Brussels while urging progress on others. GBP/USD has stabilized.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars are edging up amid the upbeat mood while the Canadian dollar is little changed as crude prices tick down. 

Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin fell sharply over the weekend, nearing $8,000 before stabilizing above $8,500. Traders are awaiting the all-important "halving" event which will see new BTC produced at 50% of the previous rate. 

More Bitcoin points to $10450, awaiting the Halving

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to multi-day peaks below 1.3500

GBP/USD trades with marked gains on Friday, now giving away some gains following an earlier surpass of the key 1.3500 yardstick. Indeed, Cable gathers fresh steam amid the strong offered stance in the Greenback, all after US NFP badly missed expectations in July.

EUR/USD: Post-NFP bounce falters around 1.1580

EUR/USD reverses Thursday’s decline and trades with solid gains in the 1.1560 region, or two-month peaks, on Friday. The pair’s firm performance comes in a context of a sharp correction in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess disheartening US NFP readings.

How Wall Street rigs the game [Video]

In this week’s Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire is joined by Peter Antico and Sean Stone to discuss the Paradigm of Money - an in-depth expose of financial market corruption, from naked shorting to the two-tier system that protects Wall Street.

XRP Price Forecast: XRP nears critical $1.00 support
Ripple (XRP) remains pressured on Friday, trading around $1.03 at the time of writing. The token appears to hold this current level as support but lacks a catalyst to sustain a knee-jerk rebound toward the next key resistance at $1.10.
Is Gold about to enter its biggest bull run since 2020?
Gold has stormed back into the spotlight and its next move could leave late buyers chasing. On August 5, the yellow metal surged almost 7% – roughly $174 – to close near $4,308 an ounce, posting one of its biggest daily advances in recent history. A weaker U.S dollar, falling Treasury yields, changing Federal Reserve expectations and renewed safe-haven demand all struck at once.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.