|

Forex Today: Fear boosted safe-haven assets

What you need to know on Tuesday, February 15:

Tensions between Russia and Ukraine dominated financial markets on Monday, leading to some solid safe-haven demand. The catalyst was a statement from US President Joe Biden, who told his Ukrainian counterpart  Volodymyr Zelensky on Sunday that the US would respond "swiftly and decisively" if Russia takes further steps toward invasion.

Early on Monday, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov told President Putin that the US had put forward concrete proposals on reducing military risks and that he could see a way to move forward with talks, although he added that EU and NATO responses have not been satisfactory. Fears partially eased, although risk-off continues.

As the day comes to an end, there are no signs of progress in diplomatic talks, but on the contrary, the Ukrainian President Zelensky reported that he has suspects Russia will likely attack the country on Wednesday, February 16, declaring it a national holiday, the Day of Unity.

The American dollar and gold were the most benefited in a risk-averse environment, with the first further boosted by comments from US St Louis Fed President James Bullard, who reiterated his call for 100bps in interest rate hikes by July 1, citing the last four inflation reports which show broadening inflationary pressures.

A scarce macroeconomic calendar exacerbated risk-related trading, with not much in the docket until next Wednesday, when the US will publish Retail Sales and the FOMC Meeting Minutes.

The EUR/USD pair trades sub-1.1300, while GBP/USD hovers around 1.3520. Commodity-linked currencies are little changed vs the greenback amid soaring gold and oil prices.

Global indexes plunged, with Wall Street accelerating its decline ahead of the close. Government bond yields retreated, with that on the 10-year Treasury note now at around 1.96%.

Gold surged to a fresh 2022 high of $1,872.85 a troy ounce, holding nearby at the time being. Crude oil prices also soared, with WTI trading at $95.25 a barrel.

Shiba Inu struggles to hold support, SHIBA could retest prior range near $0.000020


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Gains remain capped below 1.1800

EUR/USD consolidates its upside below 1.1800 in the European trading hours on Monday. The pair trades listlessly amid a tepid market mood, despite a broadly subdued US Dollar. Mid-tier US Pending Home Sales are next in focus. 

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3500 amid cautious markets

GBP/USD is oscillating around 1.3500 in the European session on Monday, supported by broad US Dollar softness. But the upside appears limited due to thin market conditions heading into the New Year holiday break. 

Gold corrects from record high as profit-taking sets in

Gold price retreats from a record high near $4,550 in European trading on Monday as traders book some profits ahead of holidays. If the US Dollar finds renewed demand, it could also weigh on the precious metal, as it makes Gold more expensive for non-US buyers.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.