|

Forex Today: Dollar regains strength as focus shifts to Powell's testimony

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, June 22:

The dollar is capitalizing on safe-haven flows early Wednesday and gathering strength against its major rivals. Investors grow increasingly concerned over a global recession as major central banks remain on track to continue to tighten their policies to battle inflation. FOMC Chairman Jerome Powell will testify before the US Senate Banking Committee in the hearing titled "The Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress." The European economic docket will feature the European Commission's preliminary Consumer Confidence Index data for June and Statistics Canada will release the May inflation report.

According to Bloomberg, Citigroup economists now see a nearly 50% chance of the global economy tipping into recession. Meanwhile, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkis said that he was not expecting the US economy to experience the stable growth of the past decade at least for the next two years. Reflecting the risk-averse market environment, US stock index futures are down 1.2% and 1.4% in the early European session and the US Dollar Index is rising 0.4% at 104.83.

USD/JPY surged to a fresh multi-decade high on Tuesday as rising US Treasury bond yield's fueled the pair's rally. Earlier in the day, the minutes of the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) latest policy meeting showed that board members agreed that there was no need to change the bank's stance of taking additional easing steps without hesitation if needed. USD/JPY stays relatively quiet near mid-136.00s early Wednesday.

GBP/USD stays on the back foot and edges lower toward 1.220 in the European morning. The data published by the UK's Office for National Statistics showed on Wednesday that annual inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), edged higher to 9.1% in May from 9% in April. The Core CPI, however, declined to 5.9% from 6.2% in the same period and caused investors to reassess the Bank of England's (BOE) rate outlook.

Pressured by the renewed dollar strength, EUR/USD retreated below 1.0500 in the early European session. European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Olli Rehn said on Tuesday that it was very likely for the ECB to hike its policy rate by more than 25 bps in September. The positive impact of these comments on the shared currency faded with markets turning risk-averse mid-week.

Gold closed the third straight trading day in negative territory on Tuesday as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield registered modest gains. XAU/USD trades with modest losses slightly below $1,830 early Wednesday.

Bitcoin has lost its recovery momentum and was last seen falling toward $20,000. Ethereum is down more than 4% already on the day and trades below $1,100.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD climbs to two-day highs past 1.3200

GBP/USD picks up extra pace and surpasses the 1.3200 threshold on Thursday. That said, Cable manages to shrug off initial weakness and regain balance on the back of the fresh selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pushes harder; focus is back to 1.1400

EUR/USD’s daily recovery now gathers steam, sending spot to the vicinity of the key 1.1400 barrier on Thursday. The pair’s bounce follows some decent loss of momentum in the US Dollar in the wake of the release of US PCE data and the weekly labour market readings.

Gold bounces from 2026 lows, remains pressured

Gold reverses part of its recent weakness on Thursday, managing to reclaim the area just above the $4,000 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal regains traction on the back of renewed selling interest in the Greenback, although expectations of rate hikes by the Fed are likely to keep buyers on the sidelines for now.

Bitcoin tests $60,000 as whales sell off – Aave and Jupiter show resilience

The broader cryptocurrency market remains under intense selling pressure, with Bitcoin back at $60,000 for the third time this year. On-chain data shows selling pressure from large-wallet investors, commonly referred to as whales, while total liquidations hit nearly $1 billion in 24 hours.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple defend their last line of defenses
The broader cryptocurrency market remains under immense downward pressure as investors' interest shifts toward lucrative AI and memory stocks. Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are holding above their June 6 lows, with bulls hoping short-term resilience will ward off sellers.
Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.