|

Forex Today: Dollar on the back foot, eyes on EU sentiment, US PPI data and central bank speakers

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, November 9:

The greenback stayed under modest bearish pressure on Monday and weakened against its rivals with the risk-positive market environment making it difficult for the currency to find demand. The US Dollar Index continues to push lower early Tuesday and trades below 94.00 for the first time since the Fed's policy announcements last week. The ZEW sentiment survey for the euro area and Germany will be watched closely by market participants ahead of the Producer Price Index (PPI) data from the US. Meanwhile, several central bankers, including ECB President Lagarde, BoE President Bailey and Fed Chairman Powell, will be delivering speeches later in the day.

Macro events: On Monday, the data from the euro area showed that the Sentix Investor Confidence improved to 18.3 in November from 16.9 in October. The ZEW Survey Economic Sentiment Index is expected to edge lower both in the euro area and in Germany in November.

European Central Bank (ECB) chief economist Philip Lane reiterated on Monday that inflation dynamics in the medium term are still weak in the euro area. On the other hand, St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard told Fox Business Network that he is expecting the Fed to hike its policy rate twice in 2022. Meanwhile, Bloomberg reported that US President Biden has interviewed Lael Brainard for the next Fed Chair. Commenting on that matter, "I expect a lot of continuity in Fed policy no matter how the Fed Chair appointment process works out," Bullard said.

Wall Street’s main indexes finished the first day of the week modestly higher and US stock index futures are down between 0.3% and 0.2% in the early European session on Tuesday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edged higher on Monday but lost its traction after failing to reclaim 1.5%. 

EUR/USD closed in the positive territory on Monday and is closing in on the static resistance area that seems to have formed around 1.1620.

GBP/USD staged a decisive recovery at the start of the week and stays relatively quiet above 1.3550 area on Tuesday. Unresolved issues surrounding Brexit's Northern Ireland protocol could limit the pair's upside.

USD/JPY fell below 113.00 amid falling US Treasury bond yields and touched its lowest level in nearly a month. The cautious market mood seems to be helping the JPY outperform its rivals.

Gold built on the strong gains it posted in the second half of the previous week and reached its highest level since early September at $1,826. Currently, XAU/USD fluctuates in a tight range above $1,820, awaiting the next catalyst.

Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin preserved its bullish momentum and hit another record high on Tuesday. Currently, BTC is trading within a touching distance of $70,000. Ethereum is approaching $5,000.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).