|

Forex Today: Dollar determined ahead of the Fed, Sterling suffers on Brexit fears, cryptos consolidating

Here is what you need to know on Monday, July 29th, European session:


- The US dollar is consolidating its gains at the wake of a busy week that includes the first Fed rate cut since the crisis and the Non-Farm Payrolls. The greenback gained ground after US GDP beat expectations with 2.1% annualized in the second quarter. 
- GBP/USD has hit new two-year lows as weekend reports suggest Boris Johnson's new government is ramping up preparations for leaving the EU without a deal. The Confederation of British Industry has warned that both the UK and the EU are unready for a hard Brexit. 

- The US and China resume face-to-face high-level talks for the first time since early May. The world's largest economies held only telephone conversations so far.
- Speculation about American intervention to weaken the USD has circulated on Friday and White House adviser Larry Kudlow came out to deny them. However, President Donald Trump has left the door open to such moves and kept criticizing other countries' behaviors. The dollar ignores the topic for now.
- Cryptocurrencies are stabilizing after they suffer sharp losses over the weekend. Bitcoin is below $10,000 again.
- WTI oil is stable despite reports that the UK is sending another warship to the Persian Gulf amid growing tensions with Iran.

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY drops to an over one-month low, around 156.00 after Japan's CPI report

USD/JPY attracts heavy follow-through selling on Friday, dropping to the 156.00 neighborhood, a one-month low, as Japan's National CPI report reaffirms bets for an imminent BoJ rate hike and boosts the Japanese Yen. Moreover, the recent steep fall in US bond yields counters hawkish Fed expectations and geopolitical risks, undermining the US Dollar and exerting additional pressure on the currency pair.

Gold seems vulnerable near August lows; eyes $4,000 break amid Fed hike bets

Gold touches a fresh low since early August during the Asian session on Friday, eyeing the key $4,000 psychological mark. Oil-driven inflation fears reinforce December Fed hike bets and continue to undermine the non-yielding bullion, which fails to benefit from the recent steep fall in US bond yields and the prevailing US Dollar selling bias. Moreover, the overnight breakdown below a trading-range support backs the case for further depreciation.



Bitcoin falls 4% as chip stocks plunge 6.7% and oil surges
Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $82,000 on Thursday as the crypto market joined a broader market sell-off driven by concerns over artificial intelligence (AI) spending, rising oil prices and escalating geopolitical tensions involving the US and Iran. The top crypto fell 4% to $81,130 as macro fears weighed on prices across the digital asset market.
The Bank of England just got its clearest reason to hike. Here's what it's really watching

UK inflation as measured by the CPI accelerated to 3.5% YoY in September, up from 3.1% in August, according to the Office for National Statistics. This is the highest level since October 2025, exceeding economists' expectations of 3.4% and pushing inflation further from the BoE's 2% target.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.