|

Forex Today: Choppy action continues ahead of mid-tier US data

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, December 8:

Financial markets remain choppy in the second half of the week amid a lack of fundamental drivers and high-tier data releases. Participants stay on the sidelines ahead of next week's key central bank announcements and major currency pairs struggle to make a decisive move in either direction. Following Wednesday's pullback on falling US Treasury bond yields, the US Dollar Index stays calm near 105.00. The US economic docket will feature the weekly Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday and investors will keep a close eye on mews surrounding China's zero-Covid policy.

Shanghai city authorities announced earlier in the day that they will not be requiring Covid test checks for restaurants and entertainment venues from Friday. Meanwhile, Hong Kong said that they will ease isolation rules for infected travellers. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index looks to close more than 3% higher but Shanghai Composite Index trades flat following these developments. 

Meanwhile, the data from the US revealed on Wednesday that Unit Labor Costs rose by 2.4% in the third quarter. With this print missing the market expectation of 3.2% by a wide margin, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield turned south and dropped below 3.5%, weighing on the US Dollar. 

Following the December policy meeting, the Bank of Canada decided to raise its policy rate by 50 basis points to 4.25% as expected. Regarding future policy action, the BoC noted in its policy statement that it will be considering whether the interest rate needs to rise further. "Inflation is still too high and short-term inflation expectations remain elevated," the BOC further noted. After having closed flat at 1.3650 on Wednesday, USD/CAD continues to fluctuate near that level early Thursday. 

EUR/USD snapped a two-day losing streak and closed slightly above 1.0500 on Wednesday. The pair trades in a narrow channel in the European morning. European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde is scheduled to deliver a speech at 1200 GMT.

GBP/USD managed to register modest daily gains on Thursday and went into a consolidation phase at around 1.2200 on Thursday.

Earlier in the day, the data from Japan revealed that the Gross Domestic Product shrank at an annual rate of 0.8% in the third quarter. This reading came in slightly better than the market expectation for a contraction of 1.1%. USD/JPY showed no immediate reaction to this data and was last seen fluctuating below 137.00.

Gold Price benefited from falling US T-bond yields and posted strong daily gains on Wednesday. XAU/USD was last seen consolidating its gains above $1,780.

Bitcoin continues to move up and down in a narrow channel at around $17,000 on Thursday. Following Wednesday's 3% decline, Ethereum stays quiet slightly above $1,200.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD onsolidates around mid-1.1800s as traders keenly await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's goodish rebound from the 1.1800 neighborhood, or a one-and-a-half-week low, and consolidates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Wednesday. Spot prices currently trade just below mid-1.1800s, nearly unchanged for the day.

GBP/USD bounces off lows, retargets 1.3550

After bottoming out just below the 1.3500 yardstick, GBP/USD now gathers some fresh bids and advances to the 1.3530-1.3540 band in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Cable’s recovery comes as the Greenback surrenders part of its advance, although it keeps the bullish bias well in place for the day.

Gold bounces back toward $4,900, looks to FOMC Minutes

Gold is attempting a bounce from the $4,850 level, having touched a one-week low on Tuesday. Signs of progress in US–Iran talks dented demand for the traditional safe-haven bullion, weighing on Gold in early trades. However, rising bets for more Fed rate cuts keep the US Dollar bulls on the defensive and act as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal. Traders now seem reluctant ahead of the FOMC Minutes, which would offer cues about the Fed's rate-cut path and provide some meaningful impetus.

DeFi could lift crypto market from current bear phase: Bitwise

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan hinted that the decentralized finance sector could lead the crypto market out of the current bear phase, citing Aave Labs’ latest community proposal as a potential signal of good things to come.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.