|

FOMC keeps benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2.25% - 2.5% range, sees no rate hikes this year

Following its 2-day meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee announced that it left the benchmark interest rate unchanged at the target range of 2% - 2.25% in a widely expected decision.  Jerome Powell, Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, is scheduled to deliver his comments on the monetary policy in a press conference at 18:30 GMT. 

Key highlights from the official statement (via Reuters)

  • Fed keeps target interest rate unchanged at 2.25-2.50 pct, sees no rate hikes this year, one in 2020.
  • Intends balance sheet runoff to slow beginning in May and end in September provided that economy, money market conditions evolve as expected.
  • Plans to continue to allow agency debt and mortgage-backed securities to decline in order to hold primarily treasuries in the long run.
  • To reduce cap on monthly redemptions from $30 bln to $15 bln beginning in May.
  • Plans to reinvest payments on agency and MBS debt into Treasuries starting in October at maximum amount of $20 bln per month.
  • Expects MBS reinvestment below the $20 bln maximum will initially occur across 'range' of maturities to roughly match treasury maturity composition.
  • Expects limited sales of agency MBS in the longer run but says timing and pace would be communicated well in advance.
  • Expects to hold asset portfolio roughly constant for a time with gradual increases in some liabilities offset by declines in reserves.
  • Plans to provide more details on market operations in May.
  • Expects to increase holdings to keep pace with trend growth of non-reserve liabilities in the longer run.
  • Economic growth has slowed from its solid rate in the fourth quarter, job gains solid.
  • Sees lower inflation on a 12-month basis largely as a result of lower energy prices.
  • Sees slower growth of household investment and business fixed investment in the first quarter.
  • Market based inflation measures have remained low; survey based inflation expectations little changed.
  • Repeats will be patient as it determines what future adjustments to rates might be appropriate.
  • Vote in favor of policy was unanimous.

About the FOMC statement. 

Following the Fed's rate decision, the FOMC releases its statement regarding monetary policy. The statement may influence the volatility of USD and determine a short-term positive or negative trend. A hawkish view is considered as positive, or bullish for the USD, whereas a dovish view is considered as negative, or bearish.

About the FOMC economic projections. 

This report, released by Federal Reserve, includes the FOMC's projection for inflation and economic growth over the next 2 years and, more importantly, a breakdown of individual FOMC member's interest rate forecasts.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD makes a U-turn, focus on 1.1900

EUR/USD’s recovery picks up further pace, prompting the pair to retarget the key 1.1900 barrier amid further loss of momentum in the US Dollar on Wednesday. Moving forward, investors are expected to remain focused on upcoming labour market figures and the always relevant US CPI prints on Thursday and Friday, respectively.

GBP/USD sticks to the bullish tone near 1.3660

GBP/USD maintains its solid performance on Wednesday, hovering around the 1.3660 zone as the Greenback surrenders its post-NFP bounce. Cable, in the meantime, should now shift its attention to key UK data due on Thursday, including preliminary GDP gauges.

Gold holds on to higher ground ahead of the next catalyst

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place on Wednesday, retargeting the $5,100 zone per troy ounce on the back of modest losses in the US Dollar and despite firm US Treasury yields across the curve. Moving forward, the yellow metal’s next test will come from the release of US CPI figures on Friday.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP sell-side pressure intensifies despite surge in addresses transacting on-chain 

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.

US jobs data surprises to the upside, boosts stocks but pushes back Fed rate cut expectations

This was an unusual payrolls report for two reasons. Firstly, because it was released on  Wednesday, and secondly, because it included the 2025 revisions alongside the January NFP figure.

XRP sell-off deepens amid weak retail interest, risk-off sentiment

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.