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EUR/USD weakens further below 0.9800 mark, lowest level since October 2002

  • A combination of factors drags EUR/USD to its lowest level since October 2002 on Friday.
  • Aggressive Fed rate hike bets and the risk-off impulse lift the USD to a fresh 20-year high.
  • Disappointing PMIs from France and Germany fuel recession fears and weigh on the euro.

The EUR/USD pair comes under some renewed selling pressure on Friday and drops to its lowest level since October 2002, around the 0.9765 region during the early European session.

Following the previous day's volatile price swings, the US dollar regains strong positive traction and is seen dragging the EUR/USD pair. In fact, the USD Index, which measures the greenback's performance against a basket of currencies, hits a new 20-year peak and remains well supported by a more hawkish stance adopted by the Fed.

It is worth mentioning that the US central bank signalled on Wednesday that it will likely undertake more aggressive rate increases to cap inflation. This, along with the prevalent risk-off environment, offers additional support to the safe-haven greenback. The market sentiment remains fragile amid growing worries about a deeper global economic downturn.

The euro, on the other hand, is pressured by the risk of a further escalation in geopolitical tensions, especially after Russian President Vladimir Putin announced a partial military mobilization. Apart from this, the energy crisis in Europe, which could drag the region's economy deeper into recession, is also seen weighing on the shared currency.

The market fears were further fueled by the release of worse-than-expected flash Manufacturing PMI prints from France and Germany - the Eurozone's two largest economies. Furthermore, Friday's downfall could also be attributed to some technical selling below the 0.9800 round-figure mark, which might have already set the stage for further losses.

Technical levels to watch

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price0.9773
Today Daily Change-0.0058
Today Daily Change %-0.59
Today daily open0.9831
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9978
Daily SMA501.0088
Daily SMA1001.0292
Daily SMA2001.0703
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9908
Previous Daily Low0.9807
Previous Weekly High1.0198
Previous Weekly Low0.9945
Previous Monthly High1.0369
Previous Monthly Low0.9901
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9845
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9869
Daily Pivot Point S10.9789
Daily Pivot Point S20.9748
Daily Pivot Point S30.9689
Daily Pivot Point R10.989
Daily Pivot Point R20.9949
Daily Pivot Point R30.999

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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