|

EUR/USD trades with a soft tone ahead of European flash PMIs

  • EUR/USD drops 0.10% ahead of the European PMIs. 
  • Weaker-than-expected data could bolster the soft tone around the single currency. 
  • EU leaders meet today on the fiscal response, but the north-south divide may hinder progress.

The single currency is prolonging the pessimism seen on Wednesday and pushing EUR/USD  to weekly lows in the 1.08 neighborhood. The pair is currently trading near 1.0810, representing a 0.10% drop on the day, having declined by 0.30% on Wednesday.

Focus on PMIs

Eurozone's preliminary PMI numbers for April will likely test the appetite for the single currency during the European trading hours. 

Germany's Markit Manufacturing PMI, due at 07:30 GMT, is expected to show the deterioration in the manufacturing sector deepened in April. The PMI is forecasted to drop to 39 from March's 45.4. 

The Eurozone Manufacturing PMI is also expected to drop to 39.2 in April from 44.5 in March. 

The worsening of the manufacturing activity should not come as a surprise as most European economies went in a self-imposed lockdown earlier this month to contain the coronavirus outbreak. Nevertheless, the single currency may draw offers if the actual figures show bigger-than-expected contraction. 

Post-PMIs, the focus would shift to the European Union (EU) summit. EUR/USD will likely pick up a strong bid if the summit bridges deep divisions on the contentious issue of how to pay for a recovery fund to help the continent withstand the economic slump brought on by the coronavirus pandemic. 

ANZ analysts are of the opinion that Europe is not yet ready to deepen fiscal integration and the finance ministers may not be able to provide an appropriate fiscal stimulus. In that case, peripheral bond spreads may widen, leading to deeper losses in the EUR/USD pair. 

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0809
Today Daily Change-0.0014
Today Daily Change %-0.13
Today daily open1.0823
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0917
Daily SMA501.0958
Daily SMA1001.1024
Daily SMA2001.1047
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0885
Previous Daily Low1.0803
Previous Weekly High1.0991
Previous Weekly Low1.0812
Previous Monthly High1.1497
Previous Monthly Low1.0636
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0835
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0854
Daily Pivot Point S11.0789
Daily Pivot Point S21.0755
Daily Pivot Point S31.0707
Daily Pivot Point R11.0871
Daily Pivot Point R21.0919
Daily Pivot Point R31.0953

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eyes 1.1800 barrier near two-month highs

EUR/USD extends its gains for the second consecutive day on Tuesday and approaches 1.1800. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a persistent bullish bias, as the pair moves upward within the ascending channel pattern. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index at 68.89 reaffirms the bullish bias.

GBP/USD climbs to 1.3500 area, renews ten-week high

GBP/USD extends its weekly rally and trades at its highest level since early October near 1.3500. The US Dollar remains under persistent bearish pressure heading into the holidays, while Pound traders largely brush off the latest interest rate cut from the Bank of England.

Gold approaches $4,500 as record-setting rally continues

Gold builds on Monday's impressive gains and advances toward $4,500, setting fresh record-highs along the way. Heightened geopolitical tensions, combined with the broad-based US Dollar (USD) weakness ahead of the Q3 GDP data, help XAU/USD preserve its bullish momentum.

US GDP expected to highlight steady growth in Q3

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will publish the first preliminary estimate of the third-quarter Gross Domestic Product on Tuesday, at 13:30 GMT. Analysts expect the data to show annualized growth of 3.2%, following the 3.8% expansion in the previous quarter.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.