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EUR/USD: Traders await crucial US NFP release

  • EUR/USD market has turned indecisive, according to Thursday's Doji candle. 
  • US Nonfarm Payrolls are expected to show the economy added 164K jobs in December. 
  • An above-forecast US data could yield a bearish daily close. 

The EUR/USD market appears to have turned indecisive ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report for December, scheduled for release at 13:30 GMT. 

The currency pair charted a Doji candle Thursday, as it witnessed two-way business and ended on a flat note. The Doji candle represents a lack of clear directional bias or indecision in the market place. 

Friday's close pivotal

A close below the Doji candle's low of 1.1093 would imply a continuation of the sell-off from recent highs above 1.1239 and open the doors for a drop to 1.1040 (Dec. 12 low). 

On the other hand, a close above the candle's high 1.1120 would confirm a bullish Doji reversal pattern. 

A bearish close could be seen if the US Nonfarm Payrolls disappoint expectations. The US economy is expected to have added 164K new jobs in December, after gaining 226K positions in November. The jobless rate is forecasted to remain unchanged at 3.5%, as well as the participation rate is foreseen at 63.2%. 

Meanwhile, Average Hourly Earnings are seen rising by 0.3% month-on-month and by 3.1% year-on-year, pretty much unchanged from the previous month.

"An upbeat report will likely trigger dollar gains across the board," according to FXStreet's Chief Analyst Valeria Bednarik. In that case, EUR/USD could end up printing a bearish close below 1.1093. 

However, in the case of a below-forecast NFP and wage growth figures, the euro will likely find takers, sending EUR/USD above 1.1120.

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1108
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open1.1106
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1141
Daily SMA501.1093
Daily SMA1001.1066
Daily SMA2001.1141
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1122
Previous Daily Low1.1092
Previous Weekly High1.1276
Previous Weekly Low1.1124
Previous Monthly High1.124
Previous Monthly Low1.1002
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1103
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.111
Daily Pivot Point S11.1092
Daily Pivot Point S21.1077
Daily Pivot Point S31.1063
Daily Pivot Point R11.1121
Daily Pivot Point R21.1136
Daily Pivot Point R31.115

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
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