|

EUR/USD technical analysis: Slips below 100-hour SMA, bears challenge symmetrical triangle support

  • The pair continued with its struggled to sustain at higher levels.
  • Bears are likely to wait for a sustained break below 200-hour SMA.

The EUR/USD pair has been oscillating between two converging trend-lines over the past one week or so, forming a symmetrical triangle on hourly charts. Wednesday's early uptick quickly ran out of the steam, rather met with some fresh supply near the triangle resistance.
 
The fact that the intraday pullback has now dragged the pair back below 100-hour SMA, the intraday bias might have shifted in favour of bearish traders and sets the stage for a move towards testing the triangle support, currently near the 1.1020 region, which is followed by 200-hour EMA.
 
With technical indicators on 4-hourly/daily charts still struggling to gain any meaningful positive traction and again drifting into the bearish territory on the 1-hourly chart, failure to defend the mentioned support levels might indicate the resumption of the prior/well-established bearish trend.
 
The pair might then turn vulnerable to slide back towards challenging multi-year swing lows, around the 1.0925 area, before eventually sliding farther below the 1.0900 round figure mark towards testing its next major support near the 1.0835-30 region - levels now seen since May 2017.
 
On the flip side, the 1.1050 region (triangle resistance) might continue to attract some fresh supply, which if cleared decisively should negate any near-term bearish bias and prompt some aggressive short-covering move and assist the pair to surpass last week's swing high resistance near the 1.1085 level.

EUR/USD 1-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1031
Today Daily Change-0.0019
Today Daily Change %-0.17
Today daily open1.105
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1064
Daily SMA501.1144
Daily SMA1001.1187
Daily SMA2001.1266
Levels
Previous Daily High1.106
Previous Daily Low1.1031
Previous Weekly High1.1085
Previous Weekly Low1.0926
Previous Monthly High1.1251
Previous Monthly Low1.0962
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1048
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1042
Daily Pivot Point S11.1034
Daily Pivot Point S21.1018
Daily Pivot Point S31.1005
Daily Pivot Point R11.1063
Daily Pivot Point R21.1076
Daily Pivot Point R31.1092

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retakes 1.1800 on renewed USD weakness

EUR/USD gains ground after three days of losses, re-attempting 1.1800in the European trading hours on Thursday. The US Dollar sees fresh selling interest across the board, despite hawkish Fed Minutes, as the market mood improves and supports the pair. US Jobless Claims data, Fedspeak and geopolitics remain in focus. 

GBP/USD recovers above 1.3500 amid better mood

GBP/USD finds fresh demand and rises back above 1.3500 in the European session on Thursday. Improving risk sentiment and renewed US Dollar weakness are helping the pair recover ground ahead of mid-tier US data releases and Fedspeak. 

Gold clings to gains above $5,000 amid safe-haven flows and Fed rate cut bets

Gold sticks to modest intraday gains, above the $5,000 psychological mark, through the first half of the European session, though it lacks bullish conviction amid mixed cues. The third round of US-mediated negotiations between Ukraine and Russia concluded in Geneva on Wednesday without any major breakthrough.

Injective token surges over 13% following the approval of the mainnet upgrade proposal

Injective price rallies over 13% on Thursday after the network confirmed the approval of its IIP-619 proposal. The green light for the mainnet upgrade has boosted traders’ sentiment, as the upgrade aims to scale Injective’s real-time Ethereum Virtual Machine architecture and enhance its capabilities to support next-generation payments. The technical outlook suggests further gains if INJ breaks above key resistance.

Hawkish Fed minutes and a market finding its footing

It was green across the board for US Stock market indexes at the close on Wednesday, with most S&P 500 names ending higher, adding 38 points (0.6%) to 6,881 overall. At the GICS sector level, energy led gains, followed by technology and consumer discretionary, while utilities and real estate posted the largest losses.

Injective token surges over 13% following the approval of the mainnet upgrade proposal

Injective price rallies over 13% on Thursday after the network confirmed the approval of its IIP-619 proposal. The green light for the mainnet upgrade has boosted traders’ sentiment, as the upgrade aims to scale Injective’s real-time Ethereum Virtual Machine architecture and enhance its capabilities to support next-generation payments.