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EUR/USD takes out 1.23 hurdle on US stimulus hopes

  • EUR/USD looks to have found acceptance above 1.23. 
  • The Dollar remains weak on expectations for bigger fiscal stimulus under the Democrat-controlled Senate.

EUR/USD closed above 1.23 on Wednesday after failing to do the same in the previous four trading days. At press time, the pair is trading near 1.2325, having set fresh multi-year highs above 1.2340 during the overnight trade. 

The pair has taken out the resistance at 1.23, with the US dollar losing ground on increased expectations for significant fiscal stimulus.

Democrats swept Georgia elections held on Tuesday, taking control of the Senate. As such, President-elect Joe Biden will now push for bigger stimulus and more regulation, higher taxes. Markets are currently focusing on prospects of more stimulus and pricing reflation, as evidenced by the US 10-year breakeven rate's rise to a 26-month high of 2.06%. 

Moreover, according to a Bloomberg article, reflation trades are getting a new lease on life across the globe. As such, the greenback could remain under pressure in Europe. 

The upside in EUR/USD will likely gather steam if the German data due at 07:00 GMT shows Factory Orders rose in November versus expectations for a 1.2% drop. 

However, while the path of least resistance appears to be on the higher side, Further gains may not happen immediately if the market focus shifts to prospects of stricter regulation and higher taxes under Biden's presidency and renewed US-China tensions. In that case, the global equities may come under pressure, putting a bid under the greenback. 

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2325
Today Daily Change0.0003
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open1.2324
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2213
Daily SMA501.2018
Daily SMA1001.1905
Daily SMA2001.1565
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.235
Previous Daily Low1.2266
Previous Weekly High1.231
Previous Weekly Low1.2181
Previous Monthly High1.231
Previous Monthly Low1.1924
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2317
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2298
Daily Pivot Point S11.2277
Daily Pivot Point S21.2229
Daily Pivot Point S31.2193
Daily Pivot Point R11.236
Daily Pivot Point R21.2397
Daily Pivot Point R31.2444

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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