EUR/USD struggles around the two-week high of 1.0700, tumbles to 1.0650s

Eurozone S&P Global Manufacturing PMIs were mixed and weighed on the EUR.
European Central Bank Nagel said the ECB needs to take further action to tackle inflation.
EUR/USD Price Analysis: Failure to crack 1.0700, to pave the way to 1.0600 and below.

Christian Borjon Valencia FXStreet

The Euro (EUR) sheds some ground against the US Dollar (USD) on the first trading day of 2023 amidst thin liquidity conditions in the financial markets. The release of S&P Global PMIs in the Eurozone failed to bolster the shared currency on Monday. At the time of writing, the EUR/USD is trading at 1.0657 after hitting a daily high of 1.0699.

European equities are trading in the green. S&P Global revealed the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for factory activity in the EU, which came mixed with Spain and France’s Manufacturing PMI exceeding estimates, contrarily to Germany, which extended its downward trajectory to 47.1. Italy and the whole Euro area remained unchanged, each at 48.5 and 47.8.

In the meantime, the Bundesbank President and European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Joachim Nagel crossed newswires on a german newspaper, and he said he’s optimistic that Germany can avoid a serious economic slump. Nagel added that the ECB was not seeing a wage spiral and reiterated that the ECB needs to take further action to curb inflation expectations.

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index, a measure of the buck’s value against a basket of peers, climbs 0.14% to 103.63, off six-month lows hit during the last week at 103.38. the lack of US and Canadian economic data keeps traders leaning on market mood and technicals.

Ahead of the week, the Eurozone economic docket will feature employment data in Germany alongside the inflation rate. Regarding the US economic calendar, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for December is expected to remain at 46.2, which could be a prelude to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) factory activity on Wednesday.

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The EUR/USD daily chart suggests the pair might be peaking at around 1.0700, unable to crack in December, and it’s trimming some of its early gains, edged toward 1.0660s. Even though it broke above an eight-month-old downslope trendline, the EUR/USD faltered to extend its gains, opening the door for a re-test of the previously mentioned trendline at around 1.0550. Oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Rate of Change (RoC) started to aim down, suggesting that sellers are beginning to gather momentum. Therefore, the EUR/USD first support would be the 1.0600 mark, followed by the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0584, ahead of 1.0550.

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price	1.0669
Today Daily Change	-0.0037
Today Daily Change %	-0.35
Today daily open	1.0706

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.0595
Daily SMA50	1.0347
Daily SMA100	1.0126
Daily SMA200	1.0325

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.0713
Previous Daily Low	1.0639
Previous Weekly High	1.0713
Previous Weekly Low	1.0607
Previous Monthly High	1.0736
Previous Monthly Low	1.0393
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.0685
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.0667
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.0658
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.0611
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.0584
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.0733
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.076
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.0808

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

FXStreet

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

GBP/USD remains in two-day highs around 1.3260

GBP/USD adds to Friday’s bounce, gathering fresh traction and flirting with the 1.3270 zone on Monday, or two-day tops. Cable’s decent advance comes despite the move higher in the Greenback and investors’ assessing of UK PM K. Starmer's resignation.

EUR/USD remains close to three-month lows near 1.1450

EUR/USD sets aside Friday’s bounce and trades with modest losses in the mid-1.1400s at the beginning of the week. The continuation of the bid bias in the US Dollar continues to weigh on spot despite improving sentiment from the geopolitical front.

Gold bounces off lows, looks to surpass $4,200

Gold regains composure and leaves behind three-consecutive daily declines on Monday, looking to regain the area above the $4,200 mark per troy ounce. Reports of progress in the latest round of US-Iran talks are helping the precious metal maintain its footing at the start of the week, although the stronger Greenback seems to limit the upside potential for now.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation

Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."

Is Shiba Inu dead or just in a crisis? The data behind SHIB's 95% crash

SHIB, the dog-themed meme coin that became one of the biggest success stories in crypto and turned early buyers into crypto millionaires, is facing tough times. Its price has fallen more than 32% so far this year, and it is down 95% from its all-time high in 2021. Is SHIB simply another fading meme coin, or is the market overlooking a possible recovery story?

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.