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EUR/USD steadies near 1.1000 after spiking to 1.1015 on dismal US data

  • Consumer confidence deteriorates in the US in September.
  • German Ifo's Current Assessment Index comes in slightly better than expected.
  • US Dollar Index posts modest daily losses near 98.50.

The EUR/USD pair registered daily losses on Monday and closed below the 1.10 handle as the shared currency came under pressure after the disappointing Purchasing Managers Index data from the euro area and Germany. On Tuesday, however, the pair capitalized on the broad-based USD weakness during the American trading hours and recovered a small portion of its losses. Following a spike to 1.1015, the pair started to consolidate its gains and was last seen trading at 1.1000, adding 0.1% on a daily basis.

Earlier today, German Ifo Expectations Index in September fell to 90.8 from 91.3 and missed the market expectation of 91.8. On a positive, note, the Current Assessment Index and the Business Climate Index improved to 98.5 and 94.6, respectively, to help the shared currency stay resilient against its rivals.

Commenting on the data, “The headline and current conditions both coming in better than consensus, but expectations falling to a new post-financial crisis low of 90.8," said TD Securities analysts.

"This leaves it more in line with yesterday's disappointing PMI data than the upbeat tone from the ZEW's expectations component last week.”

Consumer confidence weakens in the US

In the second half of the day, the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index in the US slumped to 125.1 in September and missed the market expectation of 133.5 by a wide margin. The US Dollar Index, which spent the majority of the day in a tight channel near 98.60, lost its traction on the dismal confidence data and dropped to 98.50 area. Moreover, the Richmond Fed's Manufacturing Index plummeted to -9 in September from 1 in August but came in slightly better than analysts' estimate of -11.

The economic calendar won't be featuring any significant macroeconomic data releases from the euro area or the United States on Wednesday and the subdued trading action is likely to continue.

Technical levels to watch for

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1002
Today Daily Change0.0008
Today Daily Change %0.07
Today daily open1.0994
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1033
Daily SMA501.1105
Daily SMA1001.1174
Daily SMA2001.1252
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1026
Previous Daily Low1.0966
Previous Weekly High1.1084
Previous Weekly Low1.099
Previous Monthly High1.1251
Previous Monthly Low1.0962
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0989
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1003
Daily Pivot Point S11.0965
Daily Pivot Point S21.0936
Daily Pivot Point S31.0906
Daily Pivot Point R11.1024
Daily Pivot Point R21.1054
Daily Pivot Point R31.1083

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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