• EUR/USD has snapped its longest winning streak since January 2018 with a 0.81% drop last week. 
  • The pair has violated key ascending trendline support. 
  • Trade optimism may bode well for the EUR, but Brexit uncertainty will likely cap gains. 

EUR/USD fell 0.81% last week, ending the three-week winning streak, which was the longest since January 2018. 

Further, the currency pair closed at 1.1079 on Friday, confirming a downside break of the trendline connecting Oct. 1 and Oct. 15 highs. 

Therefore, the path of least resistance appears to be on the downside. 

Even so, the pair may find bids in Europe on trade optimism. The US negotiators on Friday said that talks with China have progressed very well and suggested that a deal was close. Further, Trump called for Congress to pass the USCMA (US-Canada-Mexico) trade pact and said that China wants a trade deal, according to Westpac's FX Daily note. 

That said, the upside could be capped by Brexit uncertainty. Also, big moves may not be seen as the data calendar in Europe is light and traders may remain on the sidelines ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision due on Oct. 30.

The market has priced in 25 basis points cut, but there is a divided opinion on what the FOMC will signal in terms of bias for future meetings, according to Reuters. 

The European Central Bank's outgoing President Draghi is scheduled to speak at 15:00 GMT. The central bank head is likely to reiterate the dovish stance. 

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.1081
Today Daily Change 0.0001
Today Daily Change % 0.01
Today daily open 1.108
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.1036
Daily SMA50 1.1036
Daily SMA100 1.1132
Daily SMA200 1.1204
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.1124
Previous Daily Low 1.1072
Previous Weekly High 1.1063
Previous Weekly Low 1.0941
Previous Monthly High 1.111
Previous Monthly Low 1.0885
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.1092
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.1105
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.106
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.104
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.1008
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.1112
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.1144
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.1164

 


 

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