|

EUR/USD rises to weekly tops near 1.1170 ahead of key Eurozone data

  • EUR/USD helped by FOMC-led broad USD weakness, trade concerns.  
  • Markets await the Eurozone inflation and growth figures for fresh trading impulse.

The EUR/USD pair extends its bullish momentum into a fourth day this Thursday, mainly benefiting from broad-based US dollar weakness, as the latest US Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut continues to keep the sentiment sombre around the greenback and Treasury yields.

Eurozone data – Key event risks ahead

The Fed delivered on a widely expected 25-bps rate cut in the US last session, however, hinted a pause in future rate cuts. Despite the hawkish Fed rate cut and Fed Chair Powell’s upbeat remarks on the US economy, the US dollar was downed across the board after the knee-jerk spike, as markets continue to remain worried about the impact of the rate cuts on the economy and looming US-China trade risks.

This was reflected by the selling interest around the Treasury yields and the extension of the overnight losses in the greenback vs. its main peers, as we progress towards the European opening bells.

Meanwhile, on the EUR-side of the equation, the further upside in the spot now remains dependent on the upcoming Eurozone flash CPIs and GDP releases, due later today at 1000 GMT. The annualized Eurozone Q3 Preliminary GDP number is seen falling to 1.1% vs. 1.2% previous while on a quarterly basis, the data is seen arriving at 0.1% in Q3 vs. 0.2% last. The inflation figures are seen a touch softer in October.

Below-forecast Eurozone data could stall the ongoing bullish momentum in the major and send the rates back below the 1.1150 level. However, the bulls are likely to re-attempt the 1.12 handle on a positive surprise.

Looking ahead, the EUR/USD price-action could also likely remain at the mercy of the USD dynamics heading into the key US macro releases and amid ongoing jitters around the US-China trade deal.

EUR/USD Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1165
Today Daily Change0.0013
Today Daily Change %0.12
Today daily open1.1151
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1065
Daily SMA501.1038
Daily SMA1001.1126
Daily SMA2001.12
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1152
Previous Daily Low1.108
Previous Weekly High1.1063
Previous Weekly Low1.0941
Previous Monthly High1.111
Previous Monthly Low1.0885
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1125
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1108
Daily Pivot Point S11.1103
Daily Pivot Point S21.1055
Daily Pivot Point S31.103
Daily Pivot Point R11.1175
Daily Pivot Point R21.12
Daily Pivot Point R31.1248

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to gains near 1.3400

GBP/USD retreats after reaching a three-week high above 1.3430, challenging the 1.3400 yardstick on Thursday. Although easing political uncertainty in the UK helps the quid limit its downside, escalating tensions in the Middle East support the Greenback, keeping Cable under scrutiny.

EUR/USD faces resistance around 1.1450

EUR/USD keeps the bid bias although it seems to have met a tough hurdle around 1.1450 on Thursday. The pair’s advance follows the bearish tone in the US Dollar despite escalating tensions in the Middle East and a broad-based cautious stance from market participants.

Gold flirts with two-day highs, approaches $4,130

Gold stages a modest rebound on Thursday, setting aside a three-day losing streak and managing to surpass the $4,100 mark per troy ounce. However, steady geopolitical tensions have revived concerns over persistently high global inflation, reinforcing expectations of higher rates across the board and somewhat curtailing the yellow metal’s upside potential.

Bitcoin stalls as mixed ETF flows, renewed US-Iran tensions cap upside

Bitcoin trades at $63,000 on Thursday, recovering slightly after facing rejection near $64,000. Renewed geopolitical uncertainty has dampened risk appetite, limiting BTC upside potential.

Japan may be changing its Yen strategy, but markets don’t look scared
Japan may be changing its intervention playbook, but that might not be enough to rescue the battered Yen. With USD/JPY hovering at four-decade highs, the currency’s weakness is being driven less by speculative pressure and more by a powerful structural force: the wide US-Japan rate gap.
Bye, forward guidance: How to trade when central banks choose silence

Central banks have spent years telling markets what might come next. Now, traders face the possibility that they say a lot less. From the Federal Reserve to the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, policymakers are pushing back against forward guidance.