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EUR/USD rises on broad-based dollar weakness

  • EUR/USD gains as signs of peaking in the virus outbreak weigh over the US dollar. 
  • Above-forecast China March yuan-denominated trade data is supporting risk reset. 
  • EUR/USD appears on track to challenge the 50-day average resistance. 

EUR/USD is gaining ground as measured optimism stemming from signs of peaking in the coronavirus outbreak is weighing over the safe-haven US dollar

"Australia's virus curve has bent downwards more sharply than just about any country outside China," Ray Attrill, head of FX Strategy at NAB, told Nasdaq. Meanwhile, India's curve is beginning to flatten, as the growth rate of new cases has consistently declined after 6 April. Also, the talk of easing of restrictions on activity is gathering pace in the US and other parts of the world. 

That, coupled with the above-forecast China trade data, particularly imports, which registered a growth of 2.4%, contradicting expectations for a 2.4% drop, and the uptick in the oil prices, is helping restore the risk sentiment. 

The futures on the S&P 500 are reporting a 1.27% gain at press time and the US dollar is being offered across the board. The dollar index, which tracks the value of the greenback against majors, is reporting a 0.30% drop. 

EUR/USD is trading near 1.0945, up 0.37% on the day, having found bids near 1.09 during the early Asian trading hours. 

With the European data docket empty, the currency pair is likely to continue tracking the broader market sentiment during the day ahead. Having witnessed a solid bounce from 1.09, the spot appears on track to test and possibly break above the 50-day average at 1.0964. The bullish move will likely remain elusive if markets turn risk-averse. 

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0947
Today Daily Change0.0033
Today Daily Change %0.30
Today daily open1.0914
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0895
Daily SMA501.0969
Daily SMA1001.1035
Daily SMA2001.106
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0968
Previous Daily Low1.0893
Previous Weekly High1.0952
Previous Weekly Low1.0768
Previous Monthly High1.1497
Previous Monthly Low1.0636
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0921
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0939
Daily Pivot Point S11.0882
Daily Pivot Point S21.085
Daily Pivot Point S31.0807
Daily Pivot Point R11.0957
Daily Pivot Point R21.1
Daily Pivot Point R31.1032

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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