- EUR/USD struggles to extend the rebound near 1.1750.
- Daily technical setup remains in favor of the EUR bears.
- Focus shifts to US PPI, Jobless Claims for fresh impetus.
EUR/USD appears to have faltered its rebound from five-month lows this Thursday, as the price consolidates just below the 1.1750 level amid a risk-off market mood.
The US dollar licks its wounds in the aftermath of a softer inflation report, which eased the pressure off the Fed for an imminent hawkish move. The Treasury yields also trend lower capping the downside in the spot.
However, Chinese crackdown-led risk aversion and the recent series of dismal German economic data keep the EUR bulls on the defensive.
Looking forward, the major now awaits the US PPI and Jobless Claims data for fresh trading impulse. In the meantime, the dynamics in the dollar and yields will continue to play out amid a tepid risk tone.
EUR/USD technical outlook
From a near-term technical perspective, EUR/USD’s daily chart shows that there is some additional room for the downside.
If the selling pressure returns, then the pair could drop back towards the multi-month troughs of 1.1706, below which a sell-off towards the falling trendline support at 1.1657 cannot be ruled out.
The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) trades flat but well below the midline, keeping the bearish interests alive and kicking.
EUR/USD: Daily chart
Alternatively, the euro bulls see immediate resistance at Wednesday’s high of 1.1754.
Further up, the August 9 high of 1.1769 could be on the buyers’ radar. Acceptance above the latter could fuel a run towards the bearish 21-Daily Moving Average (DMA) at 1.1803.
To conclude, any pullbacks in EUR/USD from multi-month lows are likely to remain shallow, as the risks remain skewed to the downside for the major.
EUR/USD: Additional levels to consider
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE
EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.
GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength
GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.
Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation
Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium
Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors.
Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too
Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.