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EUR/USD rebound from multi-year lows, back near session tops post-US PMI

  • The USD retreats from multi-year tops amid a slump in the US bond yields.
  • Awful US ISM manufacturing PMI adds to the intraday USD selling bias.

The EUR/USD pair recovered its early lost ground to near 28-month lows and has now moved to the top end of its daily trading range, around the 1.0975 region post-US ISM PMI.
 
The US Dollar failed to preserve its early gains to fresh multi-year tops and drifted into negative territory following the release of awful US ISM manufacturing PMI, which fell to a three-year low level of 49.1 in August.

A combination of negative factors weighed on the USD

Against the backdrop of a sharp intraday turnaround in the US Treasury bond yields, the data exerted some heavy pressure on the greenback and turned out to be one of the key factors behind the pair's goodish intraday bounce.
 
In fact, the US bond yields crashed to fresh multi-year lows and were further pressurized by the US President Donald Trump latest criticism about the Fed's policy stance, forcing investors to price in aggressive monetary easing.
 
It, however, remains to be seen if the pair is able to capitalize on the recovery move or meets with some fresh supply at higher levels amid firming expectations that the European Central Bank will opt to ease policy further in September.
 
Hence, it will be prudent to wait for a strong follow-through buying back above the key 1.10 psychological mark before confirming that the pair has formed a near-term bottom and positioning for any further appreciating move.

Technical levels to watch

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0976
Today Daily Change0.0006
Today Daily Change %0.05
Today daily open1.097
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1114
Daily SMA501.1181
Daily SMA1001.1201
Daily SMA2001.1276
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0998
Previous Daily Low1.0958
Previous Weekly High1.1164
Previous Weekly Low1.0962
Previous Monthly High1.1251
Previous Monthly Low1.0962
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0973
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0982
Daily Pivot Point S11.0953
Daily Pivot Point S21.0935
Daily Pivot Point S31.0913
Daily Pivot Point R11.0993
Daily Pivot Point R21.1015
Daily Pivot Point R31.1033

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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