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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Slumps but stays around 1.0710s after upbeat US data

  • The EUR/USD is set to finish the week almost flat, though with a minimal loss,
  • Risk-aversion boosted the appetite for the greenback, though it weighed on the EUR/USD.
  • EUR/USD Price Forecast: To consolidate in the 1.0627-1.0787 range, but downside risks remain.

The EUR/USD edges lower as the New York session winds down, trimming some of Thursday’s gains, but remains above the 1.0700 threshold due to the 50-day moving average (DMA) acting as support around 1.0718. At the time of writing, the EUR/USD is trading at 1.0719.

Dampened sentiment weighed on the EUR, and the USD rose

US equities finished the session with hefty losses, between 1.05% and 2.47%. Positive US jobs report further cemented the case for a US Federal Reserve rate hike of 50 bps in the June meeting, despite worries that the US central bank could cause a recession.

On Friday, the EUR/USD opened near the session highs at around 1.0745 and edged up towards 1.0760, shy of the R1 daily pivot at 1.0782. However, traders dragged the EUR/USD below the daily pivot in the European session and pierced the 50-hour simple moving average (SMA) at 1.0712. Nevertheless, the EUR/USD seesawed on the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report to finally settling down at current price levels.

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The EUR/USD remains downward biased, despite the major reaching a fresh weekly high at 1.0787. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), in bullish territory, begins to drift lower. Hence, the EUR/USD might consolidate between the 1.0627-1.0787 range before resuming downwards.

The EUR/USD 4-hour chart depicts the major range-bound. However, the pair is back above the 50-simple moving average (SMA) at 1.0716, consolidating near the daily pivot, which sits at 1.0714.

Upwards, the EUR/USD’s first resistance would be June 3 daily high at 1.0764. A breach of the latter would expose May’s 30 high at 1.0787, followed by the 1.0800 mark. On the other hand, the EUR/USD first support would be the 1.0700 figure. Break below would expose June’s 1 swing low at 1.0627, followed by the 200-SMA at 1.0618.

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0718
Today Daily Change-0.0028
Today Daily Change %-0.26
Today daily open1.0746
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0602
Daily SMA501.0726
Daily SMA1001.0968
Daily SMA2001.1239
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.075
Previous Daily Low1.0645
Previous Weekly High1.0765
Previous Weekly Low1.0552
Previous Monthly High1.0787
Previous Monthly Low1.035
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.071
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0685
Daily Pivot Point S11.0677
Daily Pivot Point S21.0608
Daily Pivot Point S31.0572
Daily Pivot Point R11.0783
Daily Pivot Point R21.0819
Daily Pivot Point R31.0888

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
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