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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Retreated from 1.1320s down to 1.1310 as investors head into the weekend

  • The EUR/USD trims some of Thursday’s losses, gains some 0.14% once the US inflation reaction settled down.
  • US bond yield 2s drop, while the 10-year Treasury yield remains unchanged.
  • EUR/USD Price Forecast: To remain within the 1.1300-20 range ahead into the weekend.

Once the European desks head into the weekend and the US inflation reaction settled down, the EUR/USD climbs 0.14%, trading at 1.1310 during the New York session at the time of writing.

Ahead of the Wall Street open, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that US inflation for November increased to 6.8%, as shown by the CPI annually based. Also, the Core CPI, which means inflation without volatile items like food and energy, rose to 4.9%, as foreseen by analysts.

Read more: EUR/USD heads for another weekly close around 1.1300

The US bond yields trim some earlier losses at press time, except for 2s, down two basis points at 0.6604%, a headwind for the greenback, with the US Dollar Index down 0.23%, sitting at 96.05. Meanwhile, the US 10-year benchmark note is flat at 1.482%, after dropping almost two basis points as market participants dug deep into the CPI report.

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The 1-hour chart depicts the EUR/USD pair faded the upward move, around the 1.1324 area, nearby the November 26 high at 1.1331, retreated towards the 1.1310s. It is worth noticing that the last four 1-hour candles, rejected around 1.1320, leaving the aforementioned as solid resistance. However, the 50-hour simple moving average (SMA)  at 1.1308 would help EUR bulls to keep the pair within the 1.1308-20 range.

To the upside, the first resistance would be 1.1320. A breach of the latter would expose the R1 daily pivot at 1.1331, followed by the December 9 high at 1.1345.

On the flip side, the confluence of the double-zero, the 200-hour SMA, and the central daily pivot around 1.1300-05 are the first support. In the event of breaking lower, the immediate support would be the 100-hour SMA at 1.1294, followed by the December 9 cycle low at 1.1278.

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.131
Today Daily Change0.0016
Today Daily Change %0.14
Today daily open1.1294
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1303
Daily SMA501.1473
Daily SMA1001.1624
Daily SMA2001.1801
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.135
Previous Daily Low1.1278
Previous Weekly High1.1383
Previous Weekly Low1.1235
Previous Monthly High1.1616
Previous Monthly Low1.1186
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1306
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1323
Daily Pivot Point S11.1265
Daily Pivot Point S21.1236
Daily Pivot Point S31.1194
Daily Pivot Point R11.1337
Daily Pivot Point R21.1379
Daily Pivot Point R31.1408

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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