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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Portrays bearish set-up on D1 below 1.1900

  • EUR/USD pulls back from monthly top, struggles to extend biggest weekly gains since May.
  • Bearish cross, spinning top need validation from MACD.
  • 1.1920 becomes the key hurdle to the north, bears may eye for July low ahead of yearly bottom.

EUR/USD edges lower around 1.1870 amid a quiet start to the week’s Asian session trading on Monday. The major currency pair snapped a four-day uptrend on Friday, posting the bearish spinning top candlestick.

The candle formation also gains support from a bearish cross of the 200-day EMA over 50-day EMA, suggesting further weakness of the quote. However, MACD flashes bullish signals and hence the pair bears are waiting for a clear signal.

As 1.1830 offers immediate support to the quote, a downside break of which will direct EUR/USD towards the previous month’s low near 1.1750 and firm-up bearish bias.

Following that, the yearly low near 1.1700 and November 2020 bottom surrounding 1.1600 will be in focus.

Alternatively, a confluence of the stated EMA and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of March-May upside near 1.1920 will shrug off the bearish signals and pushing the EUR/USD prices towards late June’s swing high surrounding 1.1975.

It should be noted, however, that a clear upside break of 1.1975 needs validation from March’s top and May’s low around 1.1990, as well as the 1.2000 psychological magnet to convince the pair buyers.

EUR/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Bearish 

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.1866
Today Daily Change-0.0006
Today Daily Change %-0.05%
Today daily open1.1872
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1821
Daily SMA501.1966
Daily SMA1001.1973
Daily SMA2001.2008
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1909
Previous Daily Low1.1852
Previous Weekly High1.1909
Previous Weekly Low1.1764
Previous Monthly High1.1909
Previous Monthly Low1.1752
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1873
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1887
Daily Pivot Point S11.1846
Daily Pivot Point S21.182
Daily Pivot Point S31.1789
Daily Pivot Point R11.1903
Daily Pivot Point R21.1935
Daily Pivot Point R31.196

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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