|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Peeps above 1.09, but range play continues

  • EUR/USD's daily chart shows a sideways channel pattern. 
  • A key oscillator indicates the pair could revisit the channel support. 

EUR/USD is looking to begin the week on a positive note. The pair is currently trading at 1.0905, representing marginal gains on the day. 

However, despite the early uptick from 1.0894 to 1.0905, the bias remains neutral, as the pair remains stuck in the 7-week range of 1.1020 to 1.0730. 

A close above the upper end would put the bulls into the driver's seat and open the doors to 1.1148 (March 27 high). Acceptance above that level would shift the focus to 1.1239 (Dec. 31 high). 

Alternatively, a range breakdown could cause more sellers to join the market and shift risk in favor of a re-test and possibly a break below the 2020 low of 1.0636 reached on March 23.

A drop to the lower end of the trading range looks likely as the daily chart stochastic oscillator, which works ideally in a sideways or trading range market condition, has turned lower.  The term "oscillate" means to move between a high and a low point on a regular basis. As noted earlier, EUR/USD has been restricted to a narrow range of 1.0730-1.1020 since early April. 

Daily chart

Trend: Neutral

Technical levels

    1. R3 1.101
    2. R2 1.0982
    3. R1 1.0942
  1. PP 1.0914
    1. S1 1.0874
    2. S2 1.0846
    3. S3 1.0806

 

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to daily gains around 1.1630 ahead of Fed

EUR/USD manages to regain the smile on Wednesday, advancing marginally to the 1.1630 zone after four consecutive daily pullbacks, all amid the reneweed offered stance in the           US Dollar prior to the FOMC event. The Fed is largely anticipated to trim its interest rates by 25 bps.

GBP/USD looks bid above 1.3300, eyes on the Fed

GBP/USD sets aside two daily declines in a row and trades with modest gains just above 1.3300 the figure on Wednesday. Cable’s better tone comes on the back of some selling pressure hurting the Greenback prior to the FOMC event. Next on tap across the Channel will be the GDP figures on Friday.

Gold appears sidelined around $4,200 ahead of FOMC event

Gold trades slightly on the back foot on Wednesday amid a weaker US Dollar and the continuation of the upside momentum in US Treasury yields across the curve. The precious metal remains cautious ahead of the expected 25 bps rate cut by the Fed and the release of the updated “dots plot”.

Federal Reserve expected to cut interest rates as disagreement among officials grows

The United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday, with markets widely expecting the US central bank to deliver a final 25 bps cut for 2025.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum hold steady as XRP struggles ahead of Fed rate decision

Bitcoin holds above $92,000, supported by ETF inflows and hopes of a potential Fed interest rate cut. Ethereum rises above the 50-day EMA as the MACD and RSI signal a bullish turnaround. XRP trades under pressure as sellers target $2.00 support despite mild ETF inflows.

Hyperliquid eyes $30 breakout despite declining staking balance

Hyperliquid is trading above $28.00 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after rebounding from support at $27.50. The broader cryptocurrency market is characterised by widespread intraday losses ahead of the Fed monetary policy decision.