EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bulls pause as pair retreats toward 20-day SMA

EUR/USD drops on Thursday, slipping to 1.0355 after recent gains.
After rising above the 20-day SMA earlier in the week, the pair faces renewed selling pressure and sellers might test its strength.
A loss would push the pair towards 1.0300.

Patricio Martín FXStreet

The EUR/USD pair pulled back on Thursday, declining by 0.45% to 1.0370 as bullish momentum faded. After climbing above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at the start of the week, the pair now faces renewed bearish pressure, with sellers attempting to push it back toward this key support level. However, the overall outlook remains bearish, with the pair well below the 100 and 200-day SMA, which stand around 1.0600 and 1.0700.

Technical indicators suggest a weakening in bullish traction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has sharply declined to 49, moving into negative territory, signaling that upside momentum is losing steam. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram remains flat with green bars, indicating indecisiveness in market sentiment.

If selling pressure persists, EUR/USD could test the 20-day SMA, currently near 1.0360. A break below this level would open the door for further declines toward 1.0300. On the other hand, if buyers regain control, resistance lies at 1.0400, followed by the key 1.0450 zone. For now, the short-term outlook hinges on whether the pair can hold above its 20-day SMA.

EUR/USD daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

FXStreet

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

EUR/USD appears supported by the 200-day SMA, for now

Following an early pullback to multi-week lows near 1.1670, EUR/USD now manages to reclaim the 1.1700 region as the NA session draws to a close on Monday. The steep retracement in spot follows the equally strong move higher in the US Dollar, as investors continue to assess the geopolitical landscape in the wake of the US and Israel attacks on Iran.

GBP/USD hits new yearly lows near 1.3300

GBP/USD adds to the recent bearish tone, approaching to the key 1.3300 support to reach fresh YTD troughs against the backdrop of the robust performance of the US Dollar. Indeed, Cable’s decline comes amid the firm demand for the safe-haven space in the wake of the US and Israel attacks to Iran.

Gold eases some ground, approaches $5,300

Gold now surrenders part of the earlier advance, reshifting its attenton to the $5,300 zone per troy ounce at the beginning of the week. Indeed, the yellow metal’s firm performance appears propped up by incresing geopolitical jitters in the Middle East, which at the same time fuels the demand for the safe-haven space.