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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bull divergence of RSI seen on 4H chart

  • EUR/USD's 4-hour chart RSI has produced higher lows pattern.
  • A break above Thursday's high is needed to validate the positive divergence. 

The key indicator has diverged in favor of the bulls, but so far, that has failed to draw bids for the EUR/USD pair. 

The 4-hour chart relative strength index (RSI) has produced consecutive higher lows, contradicting lower lows on price over the last ten days. The bullish divergence often marks the end of the downtrend. As a result, it is widely considered an early warning of a bearish-to-bullish trend change. 

So far, however, we have not seen evidence of fresh chart-driven buying. The spot remains on the defense under 1.08 with the daily chart reporting a bearish continuation pattern – Thursday's bearish engulfing candle reinforced the downward bias. 

As a result, a drop to the psychological support at 1.0750 cannot be ruled out. On the higher side, a move above Thursday's high of 1.0821 would validate the bullish RSI divergence on the 4-hour chart and could yield a stronger corrective bounce to 1.0850.

4-hour chart

Trend: Neutral-to-bearish

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0788
Today Daily Change-0.0002
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open1.079
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0942
Daily SMA501.1055
Daily SMA1001.1061
Daily SMA2001.1107
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0821
Previous Daily Low1.0778
Previous Weekly High1.0958
Previous Weekly Low1.0827
Previous Monthly High1.1225
Previous Monthly Low1.0992
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0794
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0805
Daily Pivot Point S11.0771
Daily Pivot Point S21.0753
Daily Pivot Point S31.0728
Daily Pivot Point R11.0815
Daily Pivot Point R21.084
Daily Pivot Point R31.0858

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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