|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Braces for a bumpy road to 1.1186

  • EUR/USD retreats from weekly resistance line, 200-HMA amid receding bullish bias of MACD.
  • 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, three-week-long support line to test short-term bears.
  • Monthly horizontal area adds to the upside filters.

EUR/USD remains depressed around 1.1285-80 after a negative start to the week.

The major currency pair’s pullback on Monday could be linked to the U-turn from a one-week-old descending trend line as the MACD fades bullish bias. However, 50% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of November 24-30 upside restricts the quote’s immediate moves.

In addition to the 1.1280 nearby support, the 61.8% Fibo. level close to 1.1260 and an upward sloping trend line from November 24, close to 1.1245, also challenge the EUR/USD sellers.

Furthermore, a horizontal area comprising multiple lows marked since November 25, near 1.1225, will precede the 1.1200 threshold before directing the pair to the 2021 bottom of 1.1186.

Meanwhile, recovery moves will initially be challenged by the 200-HMA level of 1.1300 before the weekly resistance line, around 1.1305, plays its role.

Even if the EUR/USD prices cross the $1,305 hurdle, it needs to refresh the monthly high, currently around 1.1360, before recalling the bulls.

To sum up, EUR/USD bears keeps reins but have a bumpy road to travel during the key week.

EUR/USD: Hourly chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.1285
Today Daily Change0.0001
Today Daily Change %0.01%
Today daily open1.1284
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1293
Daily SMA501.1461
Daily SMA1001.1614
Daily SMA2001.1795
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1319
Previous Daily Low1.126
Previous Weekly High1.1355
Previous Weekly Low1.1228
Previous Monthly High1.1616
Previous Monthly Low1.1186
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1283
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1297
Daily Pivot Point S11.1256
Daily Pivot Point S21.1229
Daily Pivot Point S31.1197
Daily Pivot Point R11.1316
Daily Pivot Point R21.1347
Daily Pivot Point R31.1375

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hovers around daily lows near 1.3450

GBP/USD trades with decent losses on Thursday, revisiting the 1.3450 zone. Cable’s resumption of the selling interest comes after two daily advances in a row and follows the improved sentiment around the Greenback amid fresh concerns in the Middle East.

EUR/USD slips back to two-day lows near 1.1510

EUR/USD faces some renewed downside pressure and retests the low 1.1500s in the latter part of Thursday’s NA session. The move lower in spot comes after two daily advances in a row and follows the fresh bid bias in the US Dollar amid the re-emergence of some effervescence in the Middle East. Moving forward, US NFP data will take centre stage on Friday.

How Wall Street rigs the game [Video]

In this week’s Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire is joined by Peter Antico and Sean Stone to discuss the Paradigm of Money - an in-depth expose of financial market corruption, from naked shorting to the two-tier system that protects Wall Street.

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE sell-off seems unstoppable despite renewed retail interest
Dogecoin (DOGE) is trading under dominant selling pressure on Thursday, hovering below $0.0700, a recent support-turned-resistance level. The meme coin has shed 3% of its value in the first week of August, against a backdrop of heavier selling pressure in previous months since May highs around $0.1186.
The Fed is doing the exact opposite of what it should be doing
About the Yen: The WSJ has a front-page story about how the Fed is doing the exact opposite of what it should be doing—lending dollars to Japan to buy yen. “Put simply: America is printing dollars so Japan can buy yen.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.