|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bears hit target, eyes on upside

  • EUR/USD bears looking for a deeper impulse to test bullish commitments at weekly support. 
  • Bulls taking charge and eye the daily resistance for weekly upside continuation probability. 

As per the prior analysis, EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bears are lurking with eyes on 61.8% Fibo target, the market has melted to the target and now the focus is on the upside should the support structure hold. 

Prior analysis, daily chart

''The daily chart is showing a W-formation on the candles.

The rule of thumb is that the majority of such formations will see a restest of the prior highs of the pattern which will act as support prior to a bullish continuation. 

In this case, the 61.8% Fibonacci is the key target.''

Live market, daily chart

The price is now testing the bulls commitments at the prior resistance structure now turned support. 

A hold here will set the stage for an upside correction to test the prior support that would be expected to act as resistance give the confluence with the 50% mean reversion. 

A break of the resistance will open the pathway for a higher high. 

This would fit the prior analysis of the weekly chart

Weekly chart

''The weekly chart is showing signs of upside exhaustion and would be expected to see the price to the 38.2% or the 50% mean-reversion targets.''

Live market, weekly chart

Hourly chart

Meanwhile, from a lower time frame perspective, there are prospects of a correction to the 38.2% prior to the next down leg of the hourly bearish impulse and deeper test of weekly support. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

Japanese Yen gains ground as traders await Fed rate decision

The USD/JPY pair loses ground to near 160.25 during the early European trading hours. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision under new Chair Kevin Warsh later on Wednesday.

AUD/USD stays pressured; holds above 0.7050 as traders await Fed decision

The AUD/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's hawkish Reserve Bank of Australia-inspired bounce and trades with a negative bias for the second consecutive day on Wednesday. Spot prices, however, hold above the 0.7050 level as traders opt to wait for the outcome of a two-day FOMC policy meeting before placing fresh directional bets.

Gold keeps the bid tone unchanged, looks at Fed

Gold extends its weekly recovery on Wednesday, re-shifting its attention to the $4,400 mark per troy ounce as market participants await fresh guidance from the Fed. With the FOMC policy announcement and revised economic projections due later in the day, traders are opting for caution, somehow limiting the yellow metal’s upside potential.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP trim breakout gains as focus shifts to Fed decision

Cryptocurrency prices broadly decline as investors show caution toward risk assets ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate decision on Wednesday.

Federal Reserve set to hold interest rates in Warsh's debut as chair

The United States Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision on Wednesday, another pivotal meeting for markets to gauge the stance of policymakers and new Chair Kevin Warsh as energy prices retreat after the United States and Iran reached a framework deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Why a hawkish RBA is no longer enough to lift the Australian Dollar

The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered more than what markets expected: a hawkish hold that should have supported the Aussie. But markets widely ignored it, focusing instead on slowing economic growth and proving that central bank messaging alone isn’t always enough to drive currencies.