|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bears are lurking with eyes on 61.8% Fibo target

  • EUR/USD struggles to convince on the upside and bears are lurking.
  • A downside test of the 61.8% Fibo of the daily impulse could be on the cards. 

EUR/USD is on the verge of a significant correction according to the following top-down analysis that illustrates the market structure and bearish bias across the monthly, weekly and daily time frames. 

Monthly chart

The bulls need to clear the monthly resistance at this juncture or face an onslaught from the bears to test the support structure. 

Weekly chart

The weekly chart is showing signs of upside exhaustion and would be expected to see the price to the 38.2% or the 50% mean-reversion targets. 

Daily chart

The daily chart is showing a W-formation on the candles.

The rule of thumb is that the majority of such formations will see a restest of the prior highs of the pattern which will act as support prior to a bullish continuation. 

In this case, the 61.8% Fibonacci is the key target. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains offered below 1.1600, seems vulnerable near multi-month low

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.1530 region, or the lowest level since November 2025, and lower for the third consecutive day on Wednesday. Spot prices slide back below the 1.1600 mark during the Asian session and seem vulnerable to slide further.

GBP/USD slips below key averages as geopolitical risks mount

GBP/USD fell about 0.35% on Tuesday, settling around 1.3350 after slipping below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average for the first time since early December. The pair has pulled back sharply from its late-January high near 1.3870, shedding over 500 pips in a series of lower highs and lower lows. 

Gold rebounds ahead of US ADP, will it last?

Gold finds renewed Asian bids and retests $5,230 early Wednesday after the heavy sell-off on Tuesday. The US Dollar stands tall amid escalating Middle East tensions and reduced dovish Fed expectations. Gold defends $5,000 or 50% Fibo level after facing rejection at the 78.6% Fibo resistance at $5,342 amid bullish RSI.  

Ethereum: Whales step up buying as short positions contract

After holding firm heading into the last weekend, Ethereum whales have returned to action, pouncing on the volatility stemming from escalating military actions between the US and Iran.

Energy shock 2.0: Why rising Gas prices could hit the Euro

Even without a confirmed, sustained disruption, the mere risk to a key global energy chokepoint is enough to inject a significant premium into European Gas markets. And for the Euro, that matters.

Ripple falters amid sell-off jitters and negative funding rates

Ripple (XRP) has come under pressure, drifting lower to $1.35 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The over 2% correction looks poised to erase the previous day’s gains, which lifted the remittance token to $1.42.