|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Parabolic rally will come under scrutiny ahead of the NFP event

  • EUR/USD volatility coming up in the NFP event.
  • The single currency's parabolic rally could be met with a sharp correction.

As per the prior analysis, EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bulls take on a critical hourly resistance in New York trade, the single currency moved in on the initial targets and has run with it. 

EUR/USD, weekly chart, prior analysis

#

At the start of the week, the M-formation was highlighted as an upside risk which has played out and beyond neckline as follows:

We now head into the US Nonfarm Payrolls as the next likely catalyst following Thursday's hawkish twist at the European central bank and the following illustrates the landscape from a lower time frame perspective. 

EUR/USD H4 chart

The price action is parabolic and it would be expected to be followed by a sharp decline in value. The 4-hour 50% mean reversion level is compelling for the confluence it has with prior resistance near the 1.1360's. The NFP event could be the catalyst for a shift through the imbalance of Thursday's with volatility expected in and around the event. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD steadies around 1.1700, with eyes on key EU/ US data

EUR/USD keeps its range intact around 1.1700 in European trading hours on Wednesday. The pair awaits key Eurozone inflation and US jobs numbers for a fresh directional impetus. In the meantime, a broadly subdued US Dollar keeps the major supported. 

GBP/USD holds gains above 1.3500 as USD slips ahead of US data

GBP/USD gains some ground above 1.3500 on Wednesday after registering modest gains in the previous session. The pair edges higher as the US Dollar struggles ahead of the US ADP Employment Change, JOLTS Job Openings and ISM Services Purchasing Managers’ Index due later in the day.

Gold corrects from $4,500 amid profit-taking ahead of US data

Gold struggles to capitalize on its strong weekly gains registered over the past two days and faces rejection near the $4,500 psychological mark, or over a one-week high touched during the Asian session on Wednesday. As investors digest the recent US attack on Venezuela, the prevalent risk-on environment prompts some profit-taking around the commodity. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple cool off as rally stalls near key resistance zones

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices are taking a breather on Wednesday near their key resistance levels following the recent surge. BTC faces rejection at the $94,253 level, while ETH and XRP follow BTC’s footsteps, struggling near $3,308 and $2.35, respectively.

Implications of US intervention in Venezuela

Events in Venezuela are top of mind for market participants, and while developments are associated with an elevated degree of uncertainty, we are not making any changes to our markets or economic forecasts as a result of the deposition of Nicolás Maduro. 

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE eyes bullish breakout as on-chain and derivatives data turns supportive

Aave (AAVE) price hovers around $172 on Wednesday, nearing the upper trendline of the falling parallel channel pattern. A break above this technical pattern favors the bulls.