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EUR/USD in stasis after biggest single-day drop in nearly two months

  • EUR/USD registers its biggest single-day loss since August. 
  • Weak inflation and coronavirus concerns undermine the common currency. 
  • Sustained risk-off may boost dollar demand and add to downside pressures. 

EUR/USD is sitting still near 1.1750 at press time, having suffered a 0.57% decline to 1.1743 on Tuesday – its biggest single-day percentage decline since Aug. 19. 

Deflation concerns to weigh

As represented by the consumer price index, the cost of living in the common currency area fell into the negative territory in September.

Meanwhile, according to Jeroen Blokland, Portfolio Manager for the Robeco Multi-Asset funds, Germany's core consumer price index is quickly falling toward zero.

Add to that the renewed coronavirus cases, and traders are left with no option but to price in additional monetary stimulus by the European Central Bank. 

As such, EUR/USD is likely to remain under pressure in the near-term, as suggested by technical charts – more so due to continued deadlock in fiscal stimulus talks in Washington, delay in the coronavirus vaccines, and signs of risk aversion in the financial markets. The dour mood favors the greenback, a global reserve, and a haven currency. 

The common currency may see some strength later today if the Eurozone Industrial Production for August, due at 09:00 GMT, blows past expectations. The ECB President Christine Lagarde is likely to reiterate the central bank's dovish stance during her speech at 08:00 GMT. 

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1745
Today Daily Change-0.0001
Today Daily Change %-0.01
Today daily open1.1746
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1748
Daily SMA501.1801
Daily SMA1001.1584
Daily SMA2001.1272
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1816
Previous Daily Low1.1731
Previous Weekly High1.1831
Previous Weekly Low1.1706
Previous Monthly High1.2011
Previous Monthly Low1.1612
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1763
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1784
Daily Pivot Point S11.1712
Daily Pivot Point S21.1679
Daily Pivot Point S31.1627
Daily Pivot Point R11.1797
Daily Pivot Point R21.1849
Daily Pivot Point R31.1883

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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